More than half of the state’s registered voters have already voted.

Through yesterday (Wednesday), the first-ever 16th day of early voting, at least 8.5M Texans have already cast ballots, equivalent to more than 95% of the total votes cast for president in the 2016 election. Turnout today will likely put early voting in 2020 ahead of all voting in 2016.

Download the chart

Right around 6M people have voted in the 15 counties with the most registered voters, which is 33% more than the total number of early and absentee votes in those counties in 2016, and about 200K more than the total number of 2016 voters in those counties, including Election Day. After declining for most of the past 10 days, the single-day total of voters in the 15 counties rose to 331K, a 26% increase over Tuesday, and roughly equivalent to either Saturday’s turnout. Aside from 2012, turnout in the 15 counties begins its upward turn on the last Wednesday of the early period (Happened on Thursday in 2012).

Subscribers can read the rest of this report.

©2020 Texas Election Source LLC