- “Likely” voters are 11 percentage points less undecided than they were four years ago (6% now versus 17% after the 2016 conventions)
- Only 2% of voters said they were likely to vote for “someone else” instead of Trump or Biden, suggesting that most voters who dislike both candidates are still going to vote for one of them; and
- Biden leads Trump nationally among suburban voters, 52%-41%, and independent voters, 48%-37%.
PRES: The latest Morning Consult poll of the state shows President Trump leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden, 48%-47%, virtually unchanged from its pre-convention poll (47%-46%). No other details were provided at the state level.
At the national level, three things struck us as particularly informative: