Endangered Incumbents

By Jeff Blaylock – Founder & Senior Editor MAR. 11 2024 Endangered Incumbents Incumbents were more than endangered, it turns out. A record nine Republican incumbents fell on Tuesday. Another eight Republicans and one Democrat were forced into runoffs. Coming...

Primary Turnout

Storylines From Primary Night By Jeff Blaylock – Founder & Senior Editor MAR. 15, 2024 Turnout Based on preliminary figures, 3.29M Texans voted in the Republican and Democratic primaries combined. This is the fourth most in state history behind 2016 (4.27M),...

Storylines We’re Following for Primary Night

By Jeff Blaylock – Founder & Senior Editor MAR. 4, 2024 Endangered incumbents? Only one legislative incumbent has fallen in a primary election in the last two primary elections. At least four legislative incumbents were ousted in the each of the previous...

Texas House Race 30-Day-Out Report Analysis

Texas House Race 30-Day-Out Report Analysis Challengers Outpacing Incumbents By Jeff Blaylock – Founder & Senior Editor More than $8 million flowed into races pitting an incumbent Republican House member against one or more primary challengers during the...

Houston Mayoral Runoff Election Turnout Analysis

DEC 8, 2023 By Jeff Blaylock – Founder & Senior Editor Houston’s mayoral runoff, like all elections, will come down to turnout, but turnout variations may well point to a built-in advantage for one of the candidates. Senator John Whitmire received 43.0% of...

Understanding the Constitutional Amendments

November 7th Ballot Propositions Overview Understanding the Constitutional Amendments Proposition 1 – HJR 126 HJR 126 by Rep. Burns seeks to constitutionally protect the right to engage in farming, ranching, and other agricultural practices on privately owned or...

HD 2 Special Election Update

Six candidates are vying in a special election to fill the unexpired term of former Rep. Bryan Slaton (R-Royse City). As of Sept. 29, Ben Wheeler administrative director Jill Dutton ($142K) and Greenville attorney Brent Money ($129K) had out-raised the field, and they...

Turnout Data Suggest Texas Ranks 39th

Based on preliminary and largely unofficial election results, Texas ranked 39th in turnout, calculated as percent of the voting-eligible population casting ballots for the top office on the ballot. With just over 8.1M votes cast, 42.5% of the estimated 19.1M...