A new poll from Democrat-aligned Public Policy Polling shows Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading President Trump, 48%-47%, well within the margin of error.

Biden leads among self-identified independents, 54%-37%, with 9% undecided. In the firm’s August 2016 poll, independents favored Trump, 47%-37%, with 16% undecided.

A small, but potentially significant, 7% of people who said they voted for Trump in 2016 intend to vote for Biden this year, compared to 3% of respondents who voted in Hillary Clinton in 2016 and now intend to vote for Trump. This is actually in line with the firm’s August 2016 poll, when 9% of Mitt Romney supporters said they would vote for Clinton and 6% of Barack Obama supporters said they would vote for Trump.

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