Early voting continues through October 30. Today (Monday) was the seventh day of early voting, which began last Tuesday. Turnout continues to be record-breaking.
Through yesterday (Sunday), more than 4M Texans have already cast ballots in person or by mail statewide, representing 24% of the state’s 16.96M registered voters. The number of early votes cast so far is 62% of the total early vote from the 2016 general election and already exceeds the total number of early votes cast in 2004. Keep in mind that many counties did not open polling places yesterday.
In the 15 counties with the most registered voters, more than 2.8M people have cast ballots through Sunday. It took eight days of early voting to reach 2.8M early voters in 2016 and 2018, and 11 days to reach that number in 2012.
According to Republican strategist Derek Ryan’s latest analysis of turnout in 30 large counties, 35.7% of early votes cast so far have come from voters who have no recent primary voting history, including the 10.9% of early voters with no recent voting history in primary or general elections. So far, Democratic primary voters are casting ballots at a higher rate than Republican primary voters. Two thirds of people who voted in the last four Democratic primary elections have already cast ballots compared to half of “Four Rs.” Historically, both groups end up voting at a better than 97% clip.
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