Jul 16, 2019 | Campaign Finance
Most of 2019’s early money went to the 2022 ballot. July semiannual campaign finance reports were due yesterday (Monday) for state officeholders and candidates, including legislators and those running against them, and generally became available online today...
Jul 7, 2019 | Campaign News
In a reversal, the Trump Administration is once again pursuing the inclusion of a citizenship question on the Census form sent to all households, even as printing of those forms without the question continues. A new team of attorneys from the U.S. Justice Department...
Jun 6, 2019 | Campaign News
HD25: Lake Jackson nurse Rhonda Seth established a campaign committee for a potential primary challenge of Speaker Dennis Bonnen (R-Angleton). Seth made a small donation to Bonnen’s 2018 primary opponent, Damon Rambo, whose Facebook page continues to be highly...
May 8, 2019 | Campaign News
HD45: San Marcos veterans nonprofit officer and unsuccessful 2018 Republican candidate Austin Talley announced he would challenge Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood). Talley received 7% of the vote in the five-way Republican primary last year. HD47: Lakeway attorney Aaron...
Apr 25, 2019 | Campaign News
Early voting continues through Tuesday in most jurisdictions participating in the May 4 uniform election. Generally speaking, turnout is light across the state: In Dallas Co., turnout is just north of 2% through the first four days. Turnout exceeds 5% in around three...
Apr 4, 2019 | Campaign News
HD45: Dripping Springs health and wellness businesswoman Carrie Isaac, wife of former Rep. Jason Isaac (R-Dripping Springs) established a campaign committee for an unspecified House seat, which is almost certainly HD45. The former representative confirmed to the Texas...
Nov 13, 2018 | General Elections, Political Climate
Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...
Nov 7, 2018 | Election Night Returns
We’re still waiting on the last few boxes, mostly located in the big urban counties, to be reported. As of 3:45 a.m. CST, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leads U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, 51%-48%, with 98% of precincts reporting. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads former Dallas Co....
Nov 5, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
This is the second of two analyses that will attempt to prognosticate Tuesday’s general election. Here we focus on individual races. Our previous analysis examined the state’s political climate entering the election. Borrowing from Monty Python, “That’s no ordinary...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 24, 2018 | Campaign News
SEN: A new Ipsos/Reuters online poll shows U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 49%-44%, with “Other” polling at 3%. Libertarian nominee Neal Dikeman is the only other candidate on the ballot. The poll shows Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leading...
Sep 27, 2018 | Political Climate
We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...