Feb 20, 2020 | Campaign Finance, Federal Race Analyses
Federal candidates’ pre-primary reports were due today (Thursday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between January 1 and February 12. Most candidates have filed as of our press time, and our Crib Sheets have been updated with the...
Feb 11, 2020 | Campaign News, Federal Race Analyses
CD12: The campaign of U.S. Rep. Kay Granger (R-Fort Worth) released a new ad, “The Real Chris Putnam,” highlighting her endorsement by President Trump and attacking her primary opponent. It is not terribly often that we see an incumbent member of Congress attack a...
Feb 1, 2020 | Campaign Finance, Federal Race Analyses
Year-end campaign finance reports were due Friday for all federal officeholders and candidates. These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made during the fourth quarter of 2019, and so cash-on-hand figures listed below are as of a month ago,...
Nov 5, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
This is the second of two analyses that will attempt to prognosticate Tuesday’s general election. Here we focus on individual races. Our previous analysis examined the state’s political climate entering the election. Borrowing from Monty Python, “That’s no ordinary...
Sep 11, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, Political Climate
Traditionally, we have rated contested elections on a 5-star scale, which one star indicating a very low-interest race with no chance of flipping and five stars indicating a high-interest race with a relatively high likelihood of flipping. Our Crib Sheets still...
Mar 12, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses
Historically, runoff turnout drops precipitously from the primary election, especially in years when primary turnout approaches record levels. One brake on plunging turnout is the presence of local races on the ballot. For example, the number of voters participating...
Jan 9, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses
The campaign of Democratic candidate Joseph Kopser released its own internal poll a day after a poll conducted for the Elliott McFadden campaign showed McFadden, an Austin nonprofit executive, leading the field. The Kopser internal poll shows the Austin tech...
Nov 28, 2017 | Federal Race Analyses
A group of Tarrant Co. Republicans, including county party chair Tim O’Hare, have urged U.S. Rep. Joe Barton (R-Ennis) to retire in the wake of the online publication of the 17-term congressman in the nude, reported the Fort Worth Star-Telegram’s Anna Tinsley and...
Nov 19, 2017 | Federal Race Analyses
National pundit Charlie Cook has moved the seat held by U.S. Rep. John Culberson (R-Houston) to toss-up from leans Republican, citing his relatively weaker financial condition and the swing from Romney +21 to Clinton +1 in four years. CD7 was one of seven districts...
Mar 29, 2017 | By the Numbers, Federal Race Analyses
38% Average share of the vote received by the Democratic U.S. Senate candidate in a gubernatorial election cycle since 1990. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) has scheduled a “major announcement” for Friday that most observers believe will serve as his formal entry...
Feb 2, 2017 | Federal Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
The federal Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted about three dozen districts across the country won by Hillary Clinton but electing a Republican representative, including Dallas Co.-based CD32. U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Dallas) has been the only...
Jan 31, 2017 | Federal Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
The federal Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has set its sights on three Texas districts currently held by Republicans, including Harris Co.-based CD7, which has been represented by a Republican since 1967. Only the U.S. Senate seat occupied by John Cornyn...
