Revisiting Our Election Predictions

Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...

UT/TT Poll: Cruz by 6, Abbott by 19

A new Univ. of Texas/Texas Tribune poll finds U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 51%-45%. Libertarian nominee Neal Dikeman polls at 2%. The poll finds other statewide Republicans leading their respective challengers: Greg Abbott (R)...

Record 15.79 Million Registered to Vote in Texas

A record 15.79M Texans are registered to vote, according to the Secretary of State’s office, which released voter registration totals by counties today (Friday). The number of registered voters increased 3.6% since the March primary, as at least 544K Texans...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...