U of H Poll: ‘Almost Certain’ Voters Favor Abbott by 8

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke by 5 points among “likely voters,” growing to 8 points among “almost certain voters,” according to a new Univ. of Houston/Hobby School of Public Affairs poll. Abbott leads O’Rourke, 49%-44%, among “likely...

59% Say Texas Is on ‘Wrong Track’ in New UT Poll

Three out of five Texans believe the state is on the wrong track, according to a new Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll. The 59% wrong track number is the highest in the 14-year history of the poll. Just 31% of respondents believe the state is heading in the...

Revisiting Our Mostly Prescient Primary Storylines

Now that the dust has (almost) settled from the March 1 primary election, we like to go back and look at the storylines we were watching heading into Election Day. Statewides in Runoff or Runoffs? Turns out, it was runoffs. For the first time since 2002, more than one...

Primary Voters Set Records for Turnout, Not Turning Out

Texas saw record turnout for last night’s (Tuesday’s) gubernatorial election, and it also saw record levels of non-participation. Some votes remain to be counted, but turnout numbers are expected to rise outside of rounding errors. Just shy of 3M Texans cast a ballot...

Primary Night Delivers Some Drama, Lots of Runoffs

Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...

Primary Storylines to Watch on Election Day

Tomorrow (Tuesday), Texas voters will cast ballots in the first-in-the-Nation primary election of this mid-term cycle. Our live coverage of results and analysis will begin at about 7 p.m. CT and can be found at txelects.com/live. Here are some of the storylines we’re...

Poll: Republicans +7 in Generic House Ballot

The political winds are blowing in favor of Republicans, who lead the generic ballot test for the state House of Representatives, 52%-45%, according to a new Dallas Morning News/Univ. of Texas at Tyler poll. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) also leads Democratic frontrunner Beto...

Polls: Abbott, O’Rourke Cruising to General Election

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Beto O’Rourke (D) comfortably leads their primary challengers and appears poised to win their respective nominations outright, according to the a pair of polls released this weekend. Abbott has the support of 58% of “all primary voters” and...

Poll: Abbott and O’Rourke Statistically Tied

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) are statistically tied in a new poll (PDF) conducted by the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, a finding largely demonstrating the balance of strong partisans within the state. Abbott leads O’Rourke,...