SEN: A new Ipsos/Reuters online poll shows U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 49%-44%, with “Other” polling at 3%. Libertarian nominee Neal Dikeman is the only other candidate on the ballot. The poll shows Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leading former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D), 53%-38%. Both spreads are narrower than those found by recent polls, but larger than Ipsos/Reuters found in a September poll, which is the only one we’ve seen that had O’Rourke ahead.

Cruz leads among self-identified “independent” likely voters, 48%-33%. Abbott leads among the same group, 58%-23%.

The poll found that 75% of self-identified Democrats and 72% of Republicans rated their likelihood to vote a 10 on a scale of one to 10. Just 55% of independents rated their voting likelihood a 10. Another 23% rated it a five. Yet, independents are the most “interested … in following news” about the election compared to the partisans.

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