Nov 29, 2018 | Campaign News
SD6 special: Over 1K people voted today in person and mostly by mail, bringing the four-day total to just over 4K, corresponding to about 1.3% turnout. Eight days of early voting remain before the December 11 election. Despite the very low participation rate so far,...
Nov 26, 2018 | Campaign News
SD6 special: Early voting has begun for the December 11 special election to fill the unexpired term of former Sen. and current U.S. Rep.-elect Sylvia Garcia (D-Houston). Just 710 people voted today, 373 in person and 337 by mail. In January 2013, just over 16K voted...
Nov 20, 2018 | Campaign News
HD52: Rep. James Talarico (D-Round Rock) was sworn in today to fill the remainder of former Rep. Larry Gonzales’s (R-Round Rock) unexpired term. Talarico won the special election on the same day he was elected to a full term beginning in January. HD108: The Secretary...
Nov 14, 2018 | Campaign News
Just under 2,400 provisional, overseas and military ballots have been added to Harris Co.’s Election Day totals countywide. In HD132, Democratic challenger Gina Calanni’s lead over Rep. Mike Schofield (R-Katy) increased to 113 votes from 97 votes. In HD138, Rep....
Nov 13, 2018 | Campaign News
A week has passed since the general election. Today was the deadline for voters who cast provisional ballots to cure whatever discrepancy prevented them from casting a regular ballot. It was also the deadline for military and overseas ballots to arrive in order to be...
Nov 13, 2018 | General Elections, Political Climate
Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...
Nov 8, 2018 | House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
Dallas was a cradle for the modern Republican Party. Captain J.F. Lucey, a Dallas oilman and nationally prominent Republican, founded the Republican Club of Texas in 1947, which was the forerunner of the current Republican Party of Texas. Republican gubernatorial...
Nov 7, 2018 | Election Night Returns
We’re still waiting on the last few boxes, mostly located in the big urban counties, to be reported. As of 3:45 a.m. CST, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leads U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, 51%-48%, with 98% of precincts reporting. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads former Dallas Co....
Nov 5, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
This is the second of two analyses that will attempt to prognosticate Tuesday’s general election. Here we focus on individual races. Our previous analysis examined the state’s political climate entering the election. Borrowing from Monty Python, “That’s no ordinary...
Nov 1, 2018 | Campaign Finance
“Late-train” money is flowing into close Congressional races but largely ignoring state races as the election campaign nears its end. Part of this disparity is due to the dates covered. Congressional candidates began disclosing contributions in “24-hour” reports on...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 17, 2018 | Political Climate
Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...
