Nov 7, 2022 | General Elections, Political Climate
Ordinarily, we preview an election with some analyses – hopefully insightful ones – around the storylines we’re following. This time, the storyline seems quite simple: It’s a bad year for Texas Democrats. They’ve been fighting gravity this entire cycle. The only...
Nov 4, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting has ended for Tuesday’s general election. Turnout continues to be below 2018 levels overall, but it showed signs of gaining ground over the past couple of days. For the first time this year, the number of early voters exceeded the same day in 2018 in the...
Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Dec 14, 2021 | Campaign News
Yesterday (Monday) was the deadline to file for partisan nomination or independent candidacy for statewide, legislative, congressional and county offices on the 2022 general election ballot. Today (Tuesday) was the deadline to withdraw that application. Our Crib...
Nov 24, 2021 | Campaign News
Happy Thanksgiving! The filing period for partisan nomination for the 2022 elections continues through December 13. Our Crib Sheets are updated frequently as we learn of new campaign committees, candidate filings and announcements. GOV (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R)...
Oct 22, 2021 | Campaign News
Aledo Mayor Kit Marshall announced she would challenge Rep. Glenn Rogers (R-Graford) in the Republican primary. Marshall was first elected mayor in 2006 and re-elected seven times. She has led the Aledo Economic Development Corporation since 2008. Her candidacy...
Jun 10, 2021 | Campaign News
Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) announced he would seek re-election to a third term. Patrick’s campaign account had $19.5M on hand as of December 31, the highest cash-on-hand figure ever reported by a Texas lieutenant governor. As of that date, Patrick has raised $43.1M...
Jun 7, 2021 | Campaign News, House Race Analyses
Associated Republicans of Texas and the Hispanic Voter Network announced they were targeting several Democrat-held House seats “in an effort to expand the map for Republicans in the Texas House.” The six districts are listed below with the general election results:...
Sep 13, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We conclude our analysis of potentially competitive Texas House districts with a discussion of South and West Texas. To skip to the punchline, we do not expect any of the seats discussed here to flip. What’s more interesting here is the potential long-term shifts in...
Feb 4, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
State candidates in contested primary elections were required to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made during the first 23 days of 2020. Historically, these reports...
Jan 16, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
Yesterday (Wednesday) was the deadline for state officeholders and candidates to file their January semiannual campaign finance reports, disclosing contributions received and expenditures made between July 1 and December 31, or a shorter period if the campaign...
Sep 27, 2019 | Campaign News
Rep. Mike Lang (R-Granbury) will seek re-election after all, making the announcement just two days after announcing he would run for county office. The two-term representative and chair of the House Freedom Caucus had previously announced plans for re-election and...