Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats.

Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage to close out the campaign cycle, we have downgraded the Democrats’ expected statewide performance. We have also adjusted the model to throttle back slightly on blue-ward movements in many suburban districts while slightly accelerating red-ward movements in South Texas districts.

To access this post you need a TX Elects Subscription.

SUBSCRIBE TODAY FOR IMMEDIATE ACCESS NEWS & ANALYSIS

FOR JUST $19.99 A MONTH OR $199.99 A YEAR