Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 7, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting may begin next week as ordered by Gov. Greg Abbott (R), ruled the Texas Supreme Court, essentially because the legal challenge to that order was filed too late. “Relators could have asserted their challenge at any time in the past ten weeks,” wrote Chief...
Aug 23, 2020 | House Race Analyses
For much of the past decade-plus, Harris Co. experienced a phenomenon I called “partisan mood swings.” Democrats running countywide – potentially all of them – tended to win in presidential election years. Republicans running countywide – often all of them – tended to...
Feb 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 3 primary election begins Tuesday. Federal candidates’ pre-primary reports are due on February 20, and state candidates’ 8-day-out reports are due February 24. Tomorrow (Friday) is the deadline for candidates to file for local offices on the...
Jan 27, 2020 | Campaign News
Special Runoff Elections: Tomorrow (Tuesday) is Election Night for voters in HD28, HD100 and HD148. We will have live coverage beginning at 7 p.m. CST at txelects.com/live. Registration Deadline: Monday is the deadline for Texans to register to vote in order to cast...
Dec 17, 2019 | Campaign News
Today (Tuesday) was the deadline for county parties to electronically submit their candidate rosters to the Secretary of State, and state parties’ deadline is tomorrow (Wednesday). We still have not seen candidate lists from the Libertarian and Green Parties, and we...
Dec 6, 2019 | Campaign News
As of the end of the day (Friday), there are just three incumbents that we expect are seeking re-election for whom we have not seen a confirmation that they have filed: Statewide: none Senate: none House: none Congress: U.S. Reps. Colin Allred (D-Dallas), Joaquin...
Nov 26, 2019 | Campaign News
Filing for the 2020 primary elections and nominating conventions continues through December 9. We expect this holiday week to be a fairly quiet one, and many party offices will be closed beginning tomorrow (Wednesday). SC7: Dallas attorney and District Judge Staci...
Oct 16, 2019 | Campaign News
Early voting begins on Monday for the November 5 constitutional amendment, general and special election. The League of Women Voters has created a Constitutional Amendment Election Voters Guide which explains each amendment, provides arguments for and against each and...
Sep 16, 2019 | Campaign News
SD29 open: Rep. César Blanco (D-El Paso) announced he would seek the seat being vacated by Sen. Jose Rodriguez (D-El Paso). He was endorsed by fellow Reps. Art Fierro (D-El Paso), Mary González (D-Clint), Joe Moody (D-El Paso) and Pancho Nevárez (D-Eagle Pass) and by...
Sep 13, 2019 | Campaign News
SD29: Sen. Jose Rodriguez (D-El Paso) announced he would not seek re-election. He won a three-way Democratic primary for the open seat in 2010 and was re-elected in 2012 and 2016. Rodriguez served as chair of the Senate Democratic Caucus, a post he said yesterday...
