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Revisiting Our Election Predictions

Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...

Endorsement News for October 11

GOV: Humorist Kinky Friedman, himself a former independent candidate for the state’s highest office, endorsed Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts. “They still try to screw the Libertarians and independents,” Friedman said in a statement. “Ironically, most Texans are...

Key House Race Campaign Finance Results

Note: This report has been updated since we issued our Breaking News alert. State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 3

Today we continue our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by looking at the contribution totals of the candidates as of their July semiannual (state) and July quarterly (federal) campaign finance reports. Since 2004, 62 Texas...

Additional Campaign Finance Results of Interest

We discovered additional campaign finance results of interest after our initial passes through the July semiannual reports today (Statewide, Legislature): LTGOV: Libertarian Kerry McKennon reported having $97K on hand, which is more than Democratic challenger Mike...

May 16 Update

We sent this to our subscribers today: Dear Subscriber, Federal runoff candidates’ campaign finance reports were due to the Federal Election yesterday. The FEC has posted online 3 of the 8 we are expecting. Attached please find our latest update. Highlights...

April 24 Update

We sent this to our subscribers today: Dear Subscriber, Attached please find our latest update. Highlights include: Dewhurst releases list of SREC endorsements. TMPA asks Paxton to withdraw if he cannot answer disclosure questions. Jim Hogan speaks about the state of...