Nov 13, 2018 | General Elections, Political Climate
Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...
Nov 5, 2018 | Federal Race Analyses, House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
This is the second of two analyses that will attempt to prognosticate Tuesday’s general election. Here we focus on individual races. Our previous analysis examined the state’s political climate entering the election. Borrowing from Monty Python, “That’s no ordinary...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 17, 2018 | Political Climate
Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...
Oct 11, 2018 | Campaign News
GOV: Humorist Kinky Friedman, himself a former independent candidate for the state’s highest office, endorsed Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts. “They still try to screw the Libertarians and independents,” Friedman said in a statement. “Ironically, most Texans are...
Oct 10, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Note: This report has been updated since we issued our Breaking News alert. State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become...
Aug 30, 2018 | Campaign News
GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released its first ad for the general election, “Promises Made, Promises Kept.” The ad premiered online and during tonight’s (Thursday) NFL preseason game between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans. SD6 “open”: Secretary of...
Jul 23, 2018 | Political Climate
Today we continue our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by looking at the contribution totals of the candidates as of their July semiannual (state) and July quarterly (federal) campaign finance reports. Since 2004, 62 Texas...
Jul 17, 2018 | Campaign Finance
We discovered additional campaign finance results of interest after our initial passes through the July semiannual reports today (Statewide, Legislature): LTGOV: Libertarian Kerry McKennon reported having $97K on hand, which is more than Democratic challenger Mike...
Dec 9, 2017 | Campaign News
Filing for a place on the 2018 continues until 6 p.m. local time on Monday. About two thirds of all federal, statewide, legislative and Board of Education seats on the 2018 ballot are being contested by candidates of both the Republican and Democratic Parties, the...
May 16, 2014 | Archived Updates
We sent this to our subscribers today: Dear Subscriber, Federal runoff candidates’ campaign finance reports were due to the Federal Election yesterday. The FEC has posted online 3 of the 8 we are expecting. Attached please find our latest update. Highlights...
Apr 24, 2014 | Archived Updates
We sent this to our subscribers today: Dear Subscriber, Attached please find our latest update. Highlights include: Dewhurst releases list of SREC endorsements. TMPA asks Paxton to withdraw if he cannot answer disclosure questions. Jim Hogan speaks about the state of...