Jun 16, 2016 | House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
We continue our look into how straight-ticket voting has played out historically in today’s more competitive districts. We started with HD107 in Dallas Co. earlier this week and today we look at nearby HD105. The district has produced some famously close elections in...
Jun 13, 2016 | House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
Today we begin our look into how straight-ticket voting has played out historically in today’s more competitive districts, starting with HD107 in Dallas Co. We chose to begin here because this district was mentioned in a recent Texas Tribune article discussing the...
May 23, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Overlapping timelines and different slates of candidates in HD120 have confused many people, including the voters of the district. On the eve of the third election to affect HD120 this year, we will try to explain how we got here and where this is all headed. Former...
May 18, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Lake Dallas insurance and financial services businessman Read King held longtime incumbent Rep. Myra Crownover (R-Denton) under 55% in the 2014 primary. She did not run for re-election, while King pressed forward with another run. In the 2016 primary, King received...
Apr 21, 2016 | House Race Analyses
No incumbent legislator seeking re-election has won a runoff after finishing second in the primary since 1992. Rep. Wayne Smith (R-Baytown) is trying to avoid the fate that befell the last nine incumbents who finished in second place. Smith finished 4.4% behind Deer...
Apr 10, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Rep. Doug Miller (R-New Braunfels) did not win a three-way primary outright and faces Fredericksburg hardware store owner Kyle Biedermann in the Republican runoff. Since 1996, just four of the 22 legislative incumbents forced into runoffs have prevailed, and all but...
Apr 3, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Liberty attorney Keith Strahan (28%) and Shepherd agribusinessman Ernest Bailes (26%) emerged from the six-person field to succeed retiring Rep. John Otto (R-Dayton). Both candidates wear the conservative mantel, but the runoff is shaping up as another clash between...
Mar 28, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Former Frisco Mayor John Keating faces Heath council member Justin Holland in the runoff to succeed retiring Rep. Scott Turner (R-Frisco). Keating received 38% of the vote while Holland received 33%. Heath Mayor Lorne Liechty finished third with 29% and has endorsed...
Mar 23, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Filed under HD5.
Mar 20, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Filed under HD54.
Feb 26, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Filed under HD55.
Feb 18, 2016 | House Race Analyses
Filed under HD1, HD4.
