We continue our look into how straight-ticket voting has played out historically in today’s more competitive districts. We started with HD107 in Dallas Co. earlier this week and today we look at nearby HD105. The district has produced some famously close elections in recent cycles, most notably a 19-vote win by then-incumbent Rep. Linda Harper-Brown (R-Irving) in 2008. If 20 more people had voted for Democrat Bob Romano, then an equal number of Democrats and Republicans would have been sworn into the Texas House of Representatives two months later.

The district was redrawn in 2011. On balance, it is friendlier to Republicans than the old configuration would have been, but the addition of numerous Grand Prairie precincts ultimately cost Harper-Brown a close primary in 2014.

Rep. Rodney Anderson

Rep. Rodney Anderson

Terry Meza

Terry
Meza

HD105 is today held by Rep. Rodney Anderson (R-Grand Prairie), who is seeking his second consecutive term and third overall. He is opposed by Irving attorney Terry Meza, who is making her second run for the seat (She lost the 2014 Democratic runoff.). Minor-party candidates have captured 2-3% of the vote in recent elections, adding to the district’s volatility, but none ran this year.

In 2012, Harper-Brown won re-election by fewer than 1K votes. Two years ago, Anderson prevailed in the general election, 55%-43%.

As it is configured today, HD107 leans Republican, but it tends to be more competitive in presidential election years. In fact, as it is currently configured, Democrats would have had a slight edge in straight-ticket voting in 2008.

Estimates of the number of straight-ticket and full-ballot votes cast in the 2000, 2004 and 2008 presidential elections and the actual number of those votes in the 2012 presidential election are shown below.

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