Big Bets in Key Races Revealed in 8-day-out Reports

After 5 p.m. today, the Texas Ethics Commission posted totals for the 8-day-out reports candidates filed on Monday. The actual reports are generally not yet available, but we were able to determine many candidates’ largest donors between January 26 and February 24. We...

Turnout Nears 5% and Other News for February 28

Early voting for the March 6 primary continues through Friday. Turnout lurched toward 5% today, the eighth day of the early voting period, in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. Both parties remain on pace to have their highest early voting turnout ever...

Endorsement and Campaign News for February 20

AGRIC: Comm. Sid Miller’s (R) campaign released a new video on illegal immigration and sanctuary cities featuring an endorsement by Maria Espinoza of the Remembrance Project. SD8 open: An internal poll conducted for the Angela Paxton campaign shows her with a 47%-32%...

Endorsement and Election News for February 16

Filing deadline: Today was the deadline for candidates to file for offices on the May 5 uniform election. Write-in candidates must file by Tuesday. Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins Tuesday. GOV: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Gov. Greg Abbott (R)...

Endorsement and Other Election News for February 14

Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins Tuesday. Texas AFT COPE Endorsements: The Texas American Federation of Teachers PAC released its list of primary endorsements, which included two challengers of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R). The union endorsed...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for February 13

Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins Tuesday. GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released its first re-election ad focused on the Texas economy and business climate. LAND: The Dallas Morning News endorsed former Comm. Jerry Patterson (R) over...

Ads, Endorsements and Campaign News for February 12

Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins one week from tomorrow. LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) released a new ad focused on property taxes. The ad repeats visual cues and the “I won’t back down” tagline that appeared in a previous ad...

State of Play for Open-seat Races

Last week, we explored how the success rate of open-seat primary candidates varied with how their contribution totals ranked among their rival candidates. In general, money has been a pretty good predictor of primary success since at least 2006, the first year of our...

Incumbents Generally Ahead in 30-day-out Reports

State candidates with primary opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports on Monday. These are normally accessible online early the next morning, but today they were not available until late afternoon. We are in the process of going through the...

Special Election and Campaign News for February 3

Special Elections DeSoto: Nicole Raphiel appears to have won a special election by 5 votes over Van Stripling. Fewer than 2% of voters turned out for the election to fill an unexpired council term. Longview: Barber school owner Wray Wade appears to have beaten his...

Schubert Resigning and Other Election News for January 26

Schubert Resigning: Rep. Leighton Schubert (R-Caldwell) announced he would resign effective February 4 to join Blinn College in its legal affairs office. A special election will be held to fill Schubert’s unexpired term. It is highly unlikely that it will coincide...