Campaign Finance Reports Due and Other News for October 9

Campaign Finance: State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents are required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports today (Tuesday). These reports are expected to be available online sometime tomorrow (Wednesday), at...

New Senate Poll and Other News for October 8

A new Emerson Coll. “e-poll” finds U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 47%-42%, and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leading former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D), 53%-33%. In August, Emerson Coll. found Cruz leading, 38%-37%, and Abbott...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 5

Last week we explored the shift in straight-party voting advantage in Republican-held districts toward the Democrats. Today we explore each party’s roles in those shifts. Between 2012 and 2016, Democrats either cut into the Republican straight-party advantage or...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for October 2

SD16: Quorum Report reported former Sen. Bob Deuell (R-Greenville) endorsed Democratic challenger Nathan Johnson over Sen. Don Huffines (R-Dallas) a day after endorsing the Democratic challenger to Sen. Bob Hall (R-Edgewood), who ousted Deuell in the 2014 Republican...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Ads, Endorsements, Polls and News for September 24

Tuesday is National Voter Registration Day. October 9 is the deadline for Texans to register to vote to participate in November 6 general election. GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a new ad, “Keeping Texans Safe,” focused on border security and...

Ads and Endorsement News for September 18

TXBIZ PAC: The Texas Assoc. of Business TXBIZ PAC released its slate of legislative endorsements for the general election. In general, the PAC endorsed Republican incumbents and open-seat nominees. Notably, the PAC endorsed Democratic challenger Julie Johnson over...

Early Voting Up in SD19 and Other News for September 13

SD19 special: Early voting concludes tomorrow (Friday) for Tuesday’s special runoff election between Pleasanton retired game warden Pete Flores (R) and former Rep. and U.S. Rep. Pete Gallego (D-Alpine). Early voting turnout from several of the district’s largest...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 3

Today we continue our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by looking at the contribution totals of the candidates as of their July semiannual (state) and July quarterly (federal) campaign finance reports. Since 2004, 62 Texas...

Key Legislative Race Campaign Finance Highlights

State candidates and officeholders were required to file their July semiannual campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between the last date covered by a report and June 30. The reporting period...