Endorsement, Ad, Poll and Lawsuit News for September 9

SD30 special (Safe Republican): The Texas Oil & Gas Assoc. PAC endorsed Rep. Drew Springe (R-Muenster). HD96 open (Toss Up): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Republican nominee David Cook. HD138 open (Lean Democratic): The Texas State Teachers Assoc. endorsed...

Home Stretch Begins for the 2020 General Election

Early voting clerks must give voters a “meaningful opportunity” to confirm their identity before rejecting an absentee ballot because of a “perceived signature mismatch.” Under current law, voters must be informed that their ballot has been rejected within 10 days...

DMN/UT-Tyler Poll: Trump 48, Biden 46

President Trump leads Democratic challenger Joe Biden, 48%-46%, among respondents “most likely to vote,” according to a new Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler poll (PDF). Biden leads Trump by a point, 44%-43%, among all registered voters and “likely voters.” Biden led...

Ads, Polls and a Disavowal for September 4

A new Data for Progress survey (PDF) conducted entirely online finds Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading President Trump, 48%-45%, with 8% unsure. Biden leads among “independents,” 47%-33%. Within 34 “battleground” Texas House districts, Biden leads Trump,...

Poll, Endorsement and Ad News for September 1

PRES: The latest Morning Consult poll of the state shows President Trump leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden, 48%-47%, virtually unchanged from its pre-convention poll (47%-46%). No other details were provided at the state level. At the national level, three...

Poll: Trump +7, Cornyn +7

President Trump leads presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, 48%-41%, among “all voters” and by a slightly smaller 49.5%-44% margin among voters who indicated they were “extremely likely to vote,” according to a new YouGov poll (PDF) conducted for the Texas...

Analysis of Competitive Tarrant Co. House Districts

When former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) edged out U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R), 49.9%-49.2%, in Tarrant Co., he became the first Democrat to win countywide since 1994. Despite the narrow loss, Cruz won every Republican-held district in 2018. Some of them were very...

College Turnout in Question and Other News for August 4

One of the impacts COVID-19 may have on the general election is a potentially significant drop in turnout among college students. Univ. of Texas Interim President Jay Hartzell estimated roughly 40%-50% of the student body has opted for an online-only fall semester....