Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 11, 2020 | Political Climate
With three weeks to go before the general election, the state of play up and down the ballot remains remarkably stable across Texas. However, as races remain close, that stability could mask a lot of volatility within polls’ margins of errors and assumptions about who...
Oct 8, 2020 | Campaign News
SC6 (Lean Republican): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Justice Jane Bland (R). HD67 (Toss Up): Rep. Jeff Leach’s (R-Allen) campaign released a new ad, “Unfit,” criticizing Democratic challenger Lorenzo Sanchez on law enforcement issues. HD92 open (Lean Republican):...
Oct 7, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting may begin next week as ordered by Gov. Greg Abbott (R), ruled the Texas Supreme Court, essentially because the legal challenge to that order was filed too late. “Relators could have asserted their challenge at any time in the past ten weeks,” wrote Chief...
Oct 5, 2020 | Campaign News
A third lawsuit has been filed seeking to overturn Gov. Greg Abbott’s (R) order limiting counties to providing a single drop-off location for absentee ballots returned in person. On Friday, the League of Women Voters of Texas, LULAC and others sued in federal court. A...
Oct 2, 2020 | Campaign News
The League of Women Voters of Texas, LULAC and two elderly voters filed suit today (Friday) seeking to overturn Gov. Greg Abbott’s proclamation requiring counties to have a single drop-off location for absentee ballots returned personally. The suit challenges Abbott’s...
Sep 29, 2020 | Campaign News
Pilot Point salon owner Shelley Luther and Rep. Drew Springer (R-Muenster) are headed to a runoff to fill the unexpired term of Sen. Pat Fallon (R-Prosper). Luther edged out Springer for first place by 164 votes, 32.2%-31.9%. Democrat Jacob Minter came in third with...
Sep 28, 2020 | Campaign News
As expected, the Fifth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals issued an administrative stay to prevent a lower court ruling from restoring the single-punch, straight-party voting option to the general election ballot. The state will seek an emergency stay – an administrative...
Sep 25, 2020 | Campaign News
Single-punch, straight-party voting is back … for now. With 17 days to go before voters will begin going to the polls (assuming that lawsuit fails), a federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction against enforcing a state law, enacted in 2017, that eliminated the...
Sep 24, 2020 | Political Climate
A pair of new polls shows President Trump leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden by 3 and 5 points. The New York Times/Siena Coll. poll (PDF) finds Trump leading Biden, 46%-43%. The latest Quinnipiac Univ. poll (PDF) shows Trump leading Biden, 50%-45%. This...
Sep 20, 2020 | Campaign News
A new CBS News/YouGov poll shows the presidential race remaining within the margin of error and U.S. Sen. John Cornyn (R) holding a 46%-41% lead over Democratic challenger M.J. Hegar. President Trump leads Democratic challenger Joe Biden, 48%-46%, among “likely”...