Mar 28, 2022 | Campaign News
AG (Lean R): Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner endorsed Joe Jaworski (D) in the runoff over Rochelle Garza. HD23 open (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Patrick Gurski (R) in the runoff over Terri Leo-Wilson. HD52 open (Lean R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed...
Mar 14, 2022 | Campaign News
LTGOV (Lean R): Mike Collier (D) was endorsed by 17 Democratic representatives, including North Texas Reps. Rafael Anchia (D-Dallas), Terry Meza (D-Irving) and Victoria Neave (D-Dallas). He faces Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton) in the runoff. LAND open (Likely...
Feb 23, 2022 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance, House Race Analyses
House candidates facing primary opposition raised nearly $11M and spent over $13M during the roughly monthlong period covered by their 8-day-out reports. While that’s a fair amount, Gov. Greg Abbott (R) outspent the entire slate of House candidates by himself....
Jan 24, 2022 | Campaign News
Sen. Pete Flores (R-Pleasanton) and Reps. Mayes Middleton (R-Wallisville) and Tan Parker (R-Flower Mound) each released a statement rejecting the conservative LIBRE Initiative’s endorsement. All three cited the group’s support for amnesty for undocumented immigrants...
Oct 20, 2021 | Campaign News
Early voting continues for the November 2 constitutional, general and special elections. SD31 open: The Kevin Sparks (R) campaign released a new ad, “One Election,” touting Trump’s endorsement. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzIl6ZPj6RA HD19/HD73: Rep. Kyle...
Jun 24, 2021 | Campaign News
Four out of five Texas Republicans “believe there was widespread voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election,” according to a Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters. About a third of independents and a tenth of Democrats also believe the widespread election...
Nov 8, 2020 | General Elections, House Race Analyses
This is the first in a series of periodic analyses of the 2020 general election. The signs pointed to further Democratic gains in the Texas House of Representatives. Entering Election Day, there were 83 Republican-held seats and 67 Democrat-held seats. Two years...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
