Oct 20, 2021 | Campaign News
Early voting continues for the November 2 constitutional, general and special elections. SD31 open: The Kevin Sparks (R) campaign released a new ad, “One Election,” touting Trump’s endorsement. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fzIl6ZPj6RA HD19/HD73: Rep. Kyle...
Jun 24, 2021 | Campaign News
Four out of five Texas Republicans “believe there was widespread voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election,” according to a Quinnipiac University poll of registered voters. About a third of independents and a tenth of Democrats also believe the widespread election...
Nov 8, 2020 | General Elections, House Race Analyses
This is the first in a series of periodic analyses of the 2020 general election. The signs pointed to further Democratic gains in the Texas House of Representatives. Entering Election Day, there were 83 Republican-held seats and 67 Democrat-held seats. Two years...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Aug 3, 2020 | Campaign News
Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...
Aug 2, 2020 | House Race Analyses
Four suburban North Texas districts are at various stages of turning increasingly competitive or outright friendly to Democratic candidates. One flipped in 2018. Two more are poised to flip in 2020, and the fourth may remain just out of reach, even though it, like the...
Jul 24, 2020 | Campaign News
HD47 (Lean Democratic): Jennifer Fleck, who lost the Republican runoff to Justin Berry by nearly 1,100 votes, said she would file a lawsuit next week contesting the election results. HD67 (Toss-up): Rep. Jeff Leach (R-Allen) was endorsed by Allen Mayor Debbie Stout...
May 12, 2020 | Campaign News
SD14 special: Sarah Eckhardt’s resignation as Travis County Judge to be a candidate for the seat vacated by former Sen. Kirk Watson (D-Austin) took effect today (Tuesday). Former County Judge Sam Biscoe was sworn into office and will be the interim county judge until...
