Sep 13, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We conclude our analysis of potentially competitive Texas House districts with a discussion of South and West Texas. To skip to the punchline, we do not expect any of the seats discussed here to flip. What’s more interesting here is the potential long-term shifts in...
Oct 19, 2018 | Campaign News
Early Voting begins Monday for the November 6 general election and runs through November 2. GOV: The Corpus Christi Caller-Times endorsed Gov. Greg Abbott (R). LTGOV: The Corpus Christi Caller-Times endorsed Democratic challenger Mike Collier over Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick...
Sep 27, 2018 | Political Climate
We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...
Jun 6, 2018 | Political Climate
Today we begin our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by examining a metric we call “relative performance factors,” which measure the partisan lean of a district relative to the state. Two dozen Texas congressional and...
Dec 10, 2017 | Campaign News
The deadline to file for a place on the 2018 continues is 6 p.m. local time tomorrow. Please see our Crib Sheets for candidates’ filing status. As far as we can tell, only four incumbents have not yet filed for re-election: Court of Criminal Appeals Judge Barbara...
Nov 1, 2016 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
Eight-day-out campaign finance reports were due yesterday for state and legislative candidates (and some local candidates) with general election opponents. The reports cover contributions received and expenditures made between September 29 and October 29. From this...
Oct 13, 2016 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
Yesterday, we provided a summary of the 30-day-out campaign finance reports for key Texas House races and other races which we found interesting, although probably not competitive. Several reports were not available online yesterday but have since been filed. HD26:...
Oct 12, 2016 | Campaign Finance
Correction: We inadvertently used Rep. Gilbert Peña’s July semiannual report in our initial analysis. His 30-day-out report is not yet available online. We have corrected it below. State and legislative candidates with general election opponents were required to...
Oct 2, 2016 | House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
Our exploration of straight-ticket voting trends in competitive or potentially competitive districts turns to Republican-leaning HD43, where Rep. J.M. Lozano (R-Kingsville), who was first elected as a Democrat, is seeking his fourth term. HD43 is today comprised of...
Sep 28, 2016 | Uncategorized
TLR Endorsements: The Texans for Lawsuit Reform PAC announced its endorsements for the general election. All but one of the endorsed candidates are Republicans, and all but one of them running for statewide or legislative office have a Democratic opponent and are...
Jul 17, 2016 | Campaign Finance
Semiannual campaign finance reports were due Friday, covering either (1) the first six months of the year for candidates who had no primary opponent or (2) the period since the end of the 8-day-out reporting period of either the primary or primary runoff election (or...
Oct 31, 2014 | Archived Updates
Republicans have won 101 straight statewide elections, 106 if presidential elections are included. There are 15 statewide contests this year. Voters last elected Democrats to statewide office 20 years ago. Every state in the Nation has elected at least one Democrat to...
