Feb 21, 2018 | Uncategorized
After reviewing the early voting turnout numbers posted by the Secretary of State today, we re-examined several numbers we reported last night and realized that we made some mistakes. We obtain same-day voter counts and, in some cases, rosters from county elections...
Oct 27, 2016 | Uncategorized
PRES: We have a little more detail on the UT/Texas Tribune poll released at midnight on Thursday. The poll shows “likey voters” give Donald Trump a 3-point lead over Hillary Clinton, 45%-42%, with minor party candidates and “someone else” collectively polling at 14%....
Sep 28, 2016 | Uncategorized
TLR Endorsements: The Texans for Lawsuit Reform PAC announced its endorsements for the general election. All but one of the endorsed candidates are Republicans, and all but one of them running for statewide or legislative office have a Democratic opponent and are...
Jul 25, 2016 | Uncategorized
Our ongoing look at straight-ticket voting trends in competitive or potentially competitive districts shifts to HD113 on the eastern edge of Dallas Co. Comprised of portions of Balch Springs, Dallas, Garland, Mesquite and Rowlett and all of Seagoville and Sunnyvale,...
Jul 10, 2016 | Uncategorized
Today our exploration of straight-ticket voting trends in competitive or potentially competitive districts turns to the compact HD137, comprised mostly of the Chinatown, Sharpstown, Westchase and Woodlake/Briar Meadow neighborhoods of western Houston. About two thirds...
Jun 23, 2016 | Uncategorized
Citizens of the United Kingdom yesterday voted in a national referendum on Thursday to determine the country’s future with the European Union. As of the time of this writing, the election is too close to call [Update: Leave 52%, Remain 48% with turnout north of 70%]....
Jun 21, 2016 | Uncategorized
We continue our look into how straight-ticket voting has played out historically in today’s more competitive districts. We started in Dallas Co. with HD102, HD105 and HD107. Today we shift to Bexar Co. to look at HD117, a district that has changed partisan hands five...
Jun 16, 2016 | Uncategorized
HD54 open: A recount confirmed Scott Cosper’s victory over Austin Ruiz in the May 24 runoff. Cosper’s 43-vote margin on Election Day narrowed to 39 in the recount. Cosper faces Harker Heights nurse Sandra Blankenship in the general election. PRES: Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick...
Jun 11, 2016 | Uncategorized
Harlingen ISD: In the Place 7 runoff, Eladio Jaimez defeated Rosalinda Mercado-Garza, 59%-41%. The two were separated by one vote after the May 7 election. A single provisional ballot tied the race, forcing this runoff. Kyle: In the District 1 runoff, Travis Mitchell...
Jun 5, 2016 | Uncategorized
Endorsements can carry weight in primary elections, particularly when the groups issuing them have motivated, active and well-informed constituencies behind them. We analyzed how 30 influential business associations, ideological and grassroots groups and other...
Jun 5, 2016 | Uncategorized
We analyzed how 30 influential business associations, ideological and grassroots groups and other issue-oriented PACs’ endorsed candidates fared in the 2016 primary and runoff elections. All 30 groups and PACs are listed below along with as many of...
May 19, 2016 | Uncategorized
Through three days of early voting, fewer than 1.5% of registered voters have cast ballots by mail or in person in the primary runoff election in the state’s 15 most populous counties. Republican runoff turnout through three days is 60% below 2012 and 54% below 2014....
