Endorsement, Ad and Poll News for October 8, Plus an Arrest

SC6 (Lean Republican): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Justice Jane Bland (R). HD67 (Toss Up): Rep. Jeff Leach’s (R-Allen) campaign released a new ad, “Unfit,” criticizing Democratic challenger Lorenzo Sanchez on law enforcement issues. To access this post you need a...

Analysis of Competitive Harris Co. House Districts

For much of the past decade-plus, Harris Co. experienced a phenomenon I called “partisan mood swings.” Democrats running countywide – potentially all of them – tended to win in presidential election years. Republicans running countywide – often all of them – tended to...

Candidate Filing News for December 3

The filing period ends Monday. Our Crib Sheets have the latest information on candidates’ filing status. At least 436 candidates have filed for federal, statewide or legislative office so far. SD19: San Antonio resident Belinda Shvetz filed as a Democrat to...

Newspaper Endorsement News for October 20

LTGOV: The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Democratic challenger Mike Collier over Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R). Courts: The Houston Chronicle endorsed Justice Jeff Brown (R) and Democratic challengers Steven Kirkland over Justice Jimmy Blacklock (R) and R.K. Sandill...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Primary Election Toplines

It’s after 2 a.m., and another primary election is now in the record books, or will be when those last 97 boxes are counted. We wanted to highlight a few facts and observations about the election tonight. We will go into more detail in the coming days. For now,...

By the Numbers: Outperforming Trump

4 Number of Republican candidates for state representative whose vote percentage was exceeded by Donald Trump in the 2016 general election. There were 53 state House seats contested by a Republican and a Democrat in 2016. In 49 of those races, the Republican state...