Nov 15, 2020 | Political Climate
Joe Biden beat President Trump by a little over 850K votes in the seven counties with at least 500K registered voters. That’s nearly double the 443K-vote margin Hillary Clinton had in those counties four years earlier and a little over 100K above Beto O’Rourke’s...
Oct 8, 2020 | Campaign News
SC6 (Lean Republican): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Justice Jane Bland (R). HD67 (Toss Up): Rep. Jeff Leach’s (R-Allen) campaign released a new ad, “Unfit,” criticizing Democratic challenger Lorenzo Sanchez on law enforcement issues. HD92 open (Lean Republican):...
Aug 23, 2020 | House Race Analyses
For much of the past decade-plus, Harris Co. experienced a phenomenon I called “partisan mood swings.” Democrats running countywide – potentially all of them – tended to win in presidential election years. Republicans running countywide – often all of them – tended to...
Jul 19, 2020 | Campaign News
Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. Our complete ratings are located here. Thirteen...
Dec 3, 2019 | Campaign News
The filing period ends Monday. Our Crib Sheets have the latest information on candidates’ filing status. At least 436 candidates have filed for federal, statewide or legislative office so far. SD19: San Antonio resident Belinda Shvetz filed as a Democrat to...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 21, 2018 | Campaign News
LTGOV: The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Democratic challenger Mike Collier over Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R). Courts: The Houston Chronicle endorsed Justice Jeff Brown (R) and Democratic challengers Steven Kirkland over Justice Jimmy Blacklock (R) and R.K. Sandill...
Oct 19, 2018 | Political Climate
We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...
Sep 10, 2018 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
The general election is eight weeks away, and early voting begins six weeks from today. Traditionally, we have rated contested elections on a 5-star scale, which one star indicating a very low-interest race with no chance of flipping and five stars indicating a...
Mar 7, 2018 | Election Night Returns
It’s after 2 a.m., and another primary election is now in the record books, or will be when those last 97 boxes are counted. We wanted to highlight a few facts and observations about the election tonight. We will go into more detail in the coming days. For now,...
Jan 28, 2018 | By the Numbers
4 Number of Republican candidates for state representative whose vote percentage was exceeded by Donald Trump in the 2016 general election. There were 53 state House seats contested by a Republican and a Democrat in 2016. In 49 of those races, the Republican state...
Dec 5, 2017 | Campaign News
Voter ID: A three-judge panel of the Fifth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals convened today in New Orleans to hear oral arguments regarding whether the state’s revised Voter ID law should be allowed to take effect. No timetable for a decision was announced. In September,...
