We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact on flappable seats. Today, we put all of these metrics together.
Fifty-five legislative and congressional seats currently held by a Republican appeared on at least one of the lists of districts we created for each metric. Some only appeared on one or two, while others consistently appeared on list after list. In this analysis, we ranked districts in each of nine metrics, then totaled up those ranks to arrive at a rough, but telling, ranking of each district’s potential to flip.
Ranking the Vulnerability of Districts to Flipping Based on Several Metrics
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