Analysis of Key Dallas County House Races

Dallas Co. was the epicenter of Democrats’ 2018 surge. They flipped five House seats, one Senate seat and one congressional seat. They swept every countywide office. Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) doubled up U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, beating him by 33 points....

Endorsements Abound as Early Voting Begins

Early voting in person begins tomorrow (Monday) for the July 14 primary runoff and special elections. Voters in all 254 counties can participate in the Democratic runoff because of the statewide runoff for Railroad Commissioner. The Republican runoff is limited to all...

Fox News Texas Poll: Biden 45%, Trump 44%

A new Fox News Poll (PDF) finds Joe Biden leading President Trump, 45%-44%, in Texas. Trump led among men, 51%-39%, while Biden had an identical lead among women, 51%-39%. Trump led among Anglo voters, 60%-31%, while Biden led among Black voters, 85%-6%, and...

By the Numbers: First-place Candidates in Runoffs

82% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 175 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...

Revisiting Our Main Primary Election Storylines

Heading into last week’s primary elections, we outlined four principal storylines we’d be watching as the results came in. Final official results, and the results of any recounts and contests, are still to come, but we have answers to all the questions we...

Primary Voters Deliver Sitton Shocker and Runoffs Aplenty

Slow reporting of numbers – early voting and Election Day – muddled some views that are normally clear much earlier in the evening, but we now have a fairly complete picture of the winners, losers and runoff participants. Vote percentages below are unofficial and as...