Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 15, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Congressional candidates on the general election ballot raised more than $60M during the third quarter of 2020. In a number of races – the U.S. Senate race an exception – the candidates’ fundraising totals exceeded the same period in 2018. SEN (Lean Republican):...
Sep 9, 2020 | Campaign News
SD30 special (Safe Republican): The Texas Oil & Gas Assoc. PAC endorsed Rep. Drew Springe (R-Muenster). HD96 open (Toss Up): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Republican nominee David Cook. HD138 open (Lean Democratic): The Texas State Teachers Assoc. endorsed...
Jul 15, 2020 | Campaign News, Runoff Elections
Voters filled most of the remaining spots on the general election ballot, but a handful of races remained too close to call. Four legislative incumbents out of six fell: Lorraine Birabil (D-Dallas) lost to Jasmine Crockett, 50.5%-49.5%, after the challenger won...
Jul 2, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Today (Thursday) was the deadline for federal candidates on the July 14 primary runoff ballot to file their pre-runoff reports. The reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between April 1 and June 29.* Collectively, the runoff candidates raised...
Jun 18, 2020 | Campaign News
SD14 special: Rep. Sheryl Cole (D-Austin) endorsed former Travis County Judge Sarah Eckhardt (D). Three other members of the Travis Co. delegation – Reps. Gina Hinojosa (D-Austin), Donna Howard (D-Austin) and Celia Israel (D-Austin) have previously endorsed Rep. Eddie...
May 26, 2020 | By the Numbers
82% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 175 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...
May 4, 2020 | Campaign News
SD14 special: Austin council member Greg Casar announced he would not seek the seat vacated by former Sen. Kirk Watson (D-Austin) and would remain on the council. Former Austin council member and unsuccessful HD47 Republican primary candidate Don Zimmerman is...
Apr 15, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Today (Wednesday) was the deadline for federal officeholders and candidates to file their April quarterly reports. For most candidates, these reports disclose contributions received between February 13 and March 31. We have updated our Crib Sheet for key races, except...
Mar 30, 2020 | Campaign News
We’ve been asked if there is any polling about the government’s response to the novel coronavirus and COVID-19 with relevance to the general election. It’s probably still too early to tell, and there isn’t much political polling going on (at least that’s publicly...
Mar 16, 2020 | Campaign News
SD14 special: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) ordered a July 14 special election to fill the unexpired term of Sen. Kirk Watson (D-Austin), who is resigning effective April 30. Abbott declined to set the election to coincide with the May 2 uniform election, citing the...
Mar 11, 2020 | Campaign News
County election officials completed counting any overseas and provisional ballots by today (Wednesday) and uploaded their updated numbers to the Secretary of State. County parties canvass the primary vote tomorrow (Thursday). At that point, the vote totals become...
