UT Poll Has Trump Up by 4 and Other News for July 2

A new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds President Trump leading presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, 48%-44%. “Independents,” comprising 12% of respondents, preferred Trump, 41%-27%, with nearly a third undecided. The poll found a 10-point gap...

Fox News Texas Poll: Biden 45%, Trump 44%

A new Fox News Poll (PDF) finds Joe Biden leading President Trump, 45%-44%, in Texas. Trump led among men, 51%-39%, while Biden had an identical lead among women, 51%-39%. Trump led among Anglo voters, 60%-31%, while Biden led among Black voters, 85%-6%, and...

Summary of Key April Quarterly Campaign Finance Reports

Today (Wednesday) was the deadline for federal officeholders and candidates to file their April quarterly reports. For most candidates, these reports disclose contributions received between February 13 and March 31. We have updated our Crib Sheet for key races, except...

Revisiting Our Main Primary Election Storylines

Heading into last week’s primary elections, we outlined four principal storylines we’d be watching as the results came in. Final official results, and the results of any recounts and contests, are still to come, but we have answers to all the questions we...

Cardnell Out and Other News for March 9

CD2: Democrat Elisa Cardnell has suspended her campaign. She received 31% of the vote in the primary and was set to face Sima Ladjevardian (48%) in the runoff. “After a hard look at the numbers, we do not have the resources and clear path to reach a majority in the...

Primary Voters Deliver Sitton Shocker and Runoffs Aplenty

Slow reporting of numbers – early voting and Election Day – muddled some views that are normally clear much earlier in the evening, but we now have a fairly complete picture of the winners, losers and runoff participants. Vote percentages below are unofficial and as...