30 Races Shift Toward Republicans in Our Final Ratings

Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...

Luther Eying New Campaign and Other News for Veterans Day

Thank you to all who serve and have served our country. Tom Bean salon owner and former SD30 candidate Shelley Luther is planning to announce campaign plans on Monday after she re-authorized her campaign account but did not specify a state office she might seek. Tom...

Travis Announces for HD133 and Other News for October 27

Houston council member Greg Travis announced he would seek the Republican nomination for HD133 (Likely R), the seat being vacated by Rep. Jim Murphy (R-Houston). Travis was first elected to the council in 2015 and re-elected in 2019. His council district nearly...

House, Senate Redistricting Plans Head to Abbott’s Desk

The Senate passed House Bill 1 by Rep. Todd Hunter (R-Corpus Christi), the House’s redistricting plan for itself, with no amendments or discussion, which is traditional for passing the other chamber’s plan for itself. The House passed Senate Bill 4 by Sen. Joan...

Draft Congressional Map Bolsters Incumbents

The introduced Congressional redistricting map shows largely shores up incumbents’ districts (on both sides) but fails to create any new minority-majority or coalition districts. Based on 2020 election results, the map would result in 25 Republican (one competitive)...

Census Reveals a More Diverse, Unevenly Growing Texas

The U.S. Census Bureau released block-level data needed for redistricting today (Thursday). The state’s total population of 29.1M was previously announced with the congressional apportionment data. Today’s release includes far more detail and at a much more granular...

TLR Backs Buckingham and Other News for July 21

CD6 special: Early voting continues through Friday for the July 27 special runoff election. In Tarrant Co., in-person voting again ticked upward to just over 1,800 votes cast, bringing the three-day total of in-person and absentee voters to more than 7K (2.1% of...

Trump to Weigh Into AG Primary and Other News for May 25

Former President Trump said he will issue an endorsement in “the not-so-distant future” between Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) and Land Comm. George P. Bush (R). “I like them both very much,” Trump said in a statement. Yesterday (Monday), Bush said on Instagram that it was...

$300M Flowed Into Texas Congressional Races

Between campaign contributions to candidates and independent expenditures made to support or oppose them, $300M went into the U.S. Senate race and 36 Congressional races in the state. For the election cycle, the federal candidates on the general election ballot raised...

Final Predictions, Polls and Other Election Eve News

Election Day is finally here. Our live coverage will begin at 7 p.m. at txelects.com/live. In addition to the results and analysis we normally provide, we’ve added a “scoreboard” powered by the Texas Tribune and its partner Decision Desk HQ. The scoreboard has been...