Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Oct 6, 2022 | Campaign News
Up to this point, our race ratings have been based on each district’s partisan lean in the last two election cycles while ignoring the candidates seeking those districts. That’s why Rep. Tracy King’s (D-Batesville) district has been consistently rated a Toss Up even...
Oct 25, 2021 | Race Ratings
Texas is a whole lot less competitive state than a year ago. After the Legislature drew new maps for itself and the Congress, only 13 districts (6%) are rated as “Toss Ups” (4), “Lean Republican” (5) or “Lean Democrat” (4) in our initial Race Ratings for the 2022...
Jul 19, 2020 | Campaign News
Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. Our complete ratings are located here. Thirteen...
Apr 28, 2020 | Political Climate
Using our formulas for calculating how much redder or bluer a district is than the state as a whole and plugging the recent Univ. of Texas/Texas Tribune poll’s spread in the presidential race into the model, we have our early projection of the average Democratic...
