Early Voting Begins for High Stakes Election

Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...

Analysis of Competitive Central Texas House Districts

We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...

27 Texans Among Obama’s ‘First Wave’ of Endorsements

Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...

Endorsement, Polling and Election Contest News for July 24

HD47 (Lean Democratic): Jennifer Fleck, who lost the Republican runoff to Justin Berry by nearly 1,100 votes, said she would file a lawsuit next week contesting the election results. HD67 (Toss-up): Rep. Jeff Leach (R-Allen) was endorsed by Allen Mayor Debbie Stout...

One Week Left to File and Other News for December 2

One week remains for candidates to file for spots on the March 2020 primary ballot and minor party nominating conventions. See our Crib Sheets for candidates’ filing status. There are 30 incumbents that we expect are seeking re-election for whom we have not seen...

Endorsement and Announcement News for September 17

HD16: Rep. Will Metcalf (R-Conroe) announced he would seek re-election to a fourth term. HD47: The Combined Law Enforcements Associations of Texas PAC will endorse Republican challenger Justin Berry, a police officer, over Rep. Vikki Goodwin (D-Austin) at an Austin...

Landgraf Staying Put and Other News for September 10

SD4: Porter oil and gas project manager Jay Stittleburg established a campaign committee for a potential challenge of Sen. Brandon Creighton (R-Conroe) as a Democrat. Stittleburg ran unsuccessfully for Montgomery County Judge in 2018, losing to then-Rep. Mark Keough...

Citizenship Question Nixed and Candidate News for July 2

The U.S. Census form that goes to all households will not include a question about citizenship, the U.S. Justice Dept. confirmed. The decision comes days after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled the Commerce Dept.’s rationale for including the question was “contrived.” The...

Identifying Districts in Play This November, Part 1

Today we begin our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by examining a metric we call “relative performance factors,” which measure the partisan lean of a district relative to the state. Two dozen Texas congressional and...