Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Nov 10, 2021 | Campaign News
The filing period begins Saturday for candidates seeking partisan nomination or intending to run as an independent candidate for the 2022 general election. Partisan candidates seeking offices and districts with territories located entirely within a single county must...
Oct 5, 2021 | Campaign News
On a party-line vote, the House Redistricting Committee approved House Bill 1 by Rep. Todd Hunter (R-Corpus Christi), the proposed state House map, with amendments. The map did not change much after considering dozens of amendments, but there were a couple of...
Jun 22, 2021 | Campaign News
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) announced he would convene a special legislative session on July 8. The two-sentence announcement indicated that specific agenda items would be announced before the session begins. A formal proclamation is needed to call the session, and it must...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 28, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Yesterday’s report about campaign finance results for key House races was missing details about a number of Democratic candidates’ 8-day-out reports. To be clear, they filed their reports on time, but the contribution and expenditure details were not yet available...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Aug 29, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...
Aug 3, 2020 | Campaign News
Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...
Jul 24, 2020 | Campaign News
HD47 (Lean Democratic): Jennifer Fleck, who lost the Republican runoff to Justin Berry by nearly 1,100 votes, said she would file a lawsuit next week contesting the election results. HD67 (Toss-up): Rep. Jeff Leach (R-Allen) was endorsed by Allen Mayor Debbie Stout...