Nov 7, 2022 | General Elections, Political Climate
Ordinarily, we preview an election with some analyses – hopefully insightful ones – around the storylines we’re following. This time, the storyline seems quite simple: It’s a bad year for Texas Democrats. They’ve been fighting gravity this entire cycle. The only...
Nov 4, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting has ended for Tuesday’s general election. Turnout continues to be below 2018 levels overall, but it showed signs of gaining ground over the past couple of days. For the first time this year, the number of early voters exceeded the same day in 2018 in the...
Nov 1, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising $47M and spending north of $72M during the monthlong period covered by the latest campaign finance reports. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke’s...
Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Sep 22, 2022 | Campaign News
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 50%-43%, according to a new Spectrum News/Siena Coll. poll. It finds Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) leading Democratic challenger Mike Collier, 49%-40%, and Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leading Democratic...
Mar 22, 2022 | Campaign News
The Texas Supreme Court will hear oral arguments tomorrow (Wednesday) in a case challenging a portion of the Texas House map passed the last special session. In November, the Mexican American Legislative Caucus filed suit contending that the map violated the...
Dec 14, 2021 | Campaign News
Yesterday (Monday) was the deadline to file for partisan nomination or independent candidacy for statewide, legislative, congressional and county offices on the 2022 general election ballot. Today (Tuesday) was the deadline to withdraw that application. Our Crib...
Oct 27, 2021 | Campaign News
Houston council member Greg Travis announced he would seek the Republican nomination for HD133 (Likely R), the seat being vacated by Rep. Jim Murphy (R-Houston). Travis was first elected to the council in 2015 and re-elected in 2019. His council district nearly...
Jul 28, 2021 | Campaign News
HD10 open: Former Rep. John Wray (R-Waxahachie) is expected to announce his candidacy as soon as tomorrow (Thursday), and former HD10 candidate Ryan Pitts, son of former Rep. Jim Pitts (R-Waxahachie), is also considering whether he will seek the state House seat being...
Sep 13, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We conclude our analysis of potentially competitive Texas House districts with a discussion of South and West Texas. To skip to the punchline, we do not expect any of the seats discussed here to flip. What’s more interesting here is the potential long-term shifts in...
Feb 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 3 primary election begins Tuesday. Federal candidates’ pre-primary reports are due on February 20, and state candidates’ 8-day-out reports are due February 24. Tomorrow (Friday) is the deadline for candidates to file for local offices on the...
Oct 1, 2019 | Campaign News
CCA3: Austin attorney Gina Parker announced she would challenge Judge Bert Richardson (R) in the Republican primary. The Parker campaign released a list of endorsements including former Gov. Rick Perry (R), seven members of the State Republican Executive Committee and...