Nov 7, 2022 | General Elections, Political Climate
Ordinarily, we preview an election with some analyses – hopefully insightful ones – around the storylines we’re following. This time, the storyline seems quite simple: It’s a bad year for Texas Democrats. They’ve been fighting gravity this entire cycle. The only...
Nov 4, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting has ended for Tuesday’s general election. Turnout continues to be below 2018 levels overall, but it showed signs of gaining ground over the past couple of days. For the first time this year, the number of early voters exceeded the same day in 2018 in the...
Nov 1, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising $47M and spending north of $72M during the monthlong period covered by the latest campaign finance reports. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke’s...
Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Oct 12, 2022 | Campaign Finance
The governor’s race towers above all others when it comes to raising and spending money this election season. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and challenger Beto O’Rourke (D) accounted for a staggering 70% of all contributions received and 76% of all expenditures made by...
Oct 6, 2022 | Campaign News
Up to this point, our race ratings have been based on each district’s partisan lean in the last two election cycles while ignoring the candidates seeking those districts. That’s why Rep. Tracy King’s (D-Batesville) district has been consistently rated a Toss Up even...
Jul 17, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Note: This report has been updated to reflect significant changes to originally reported figures by Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton’s campaign. The governor’s race (Likely R) is taking the oxygen out of the room, accounting for 65 cents out of every dollar contributed to...
Dec 14, 2021 | Campaign News
Yesterday (Monday) was the deadline to file for partisan nomination or independent candidacy for statewide, legislative, congressional and county offices on the 2022 general election ballot. Today (Tuesday) was the deadline to withdraw that application. Our Crib...
Nov 15, 2021 | Campaign News
GOV (Likely R): Seeking to recapture the mojo of 2018 without any of the side effects from his 2020 presidential campaign, former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) announced he would challenge Gov. Greg Abbott (R). O’Rourke came within 3 points of ousting U.S. Sen....
Nov 2, 2021 | Election Night Returns
Today (Tuesday) was Election Day across Texas as voters decided the fate of eight constitutional amendments, filled an unexpired House term, elected local officials and judged various charter amendments, local propositions and bond measures. All eight constitutional...
Nov 1, 2021 | Campaign News
Tomorrow (Tuesday) is Election Day across the state. In HD118 (Special), former Rep. John Lujan (R-San Antonio) faces Frank Ramirez (D) for the unexpired term of former Rep. Leo Pacheco (D-San Antonio). Lujan is seeking his second special election win for the seat...
Oct 28, 2021 | Campaign News
Early voting concludes tomorrow (Friday) for the November 2 constitutional amendment, general and special elections. Through yesterday (Wednesday), 455K Texans have voted early in person or by mail statewide, representing 2.7% of registered voters. In HD118 (Special),...
