Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 12, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the November 3 general election begins tomorrow (Tuesday) and runs through October 30. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) extended the normally two-week early voting period to three weeks in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Harris Co. reported it has mailed...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Sep 23, 2020 | Campaign News
To access this post you need a TX Elects Subscription. SD30 special (safe Republican): Early voting continues through Friday for the September 29 special election. Through yesterday (Tuesday), just under 29K people have voted in person or by mail. HD67 (Toss Up):...
Aug 17, 2020 | Campaign News
HD65 (Lean Democratic): The campaign of Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton) released an internal poll showing the incumbent leading Republican challenger Kronda Thimesch, 52%-38%. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump, 55%-40%, in the...
Aug 9, 2020 | House Race Analyses
Dallas Co. was the epicenter of Democrats’ 2018 surge. They flipped five House seats, one Senate seat and one congressional seat. They swept every countywide office. Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) doubled up U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, beating him by 33 points....
Aug 3, 2020 | Campaign News
Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...
Jul 16, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) reported more cash on hand ($38.2M) than all of the Republican legislative incumbents and candidates on the 2020 general election ballot combined ($32.1M) and all of the Republican congressional incumbents and candidates on the 2020 general...
May 12, 2020 | Campaign News
SD14 special: Sarah Eckhardt’s resignation as Travis County Judge to be a candidate for the seat vacated by former Sen. Kirk Watson (D-Austin) took effect today (Tuesday). Former County Judge Sam Biscoe was sworn into office and will be the interim county judge until...
Feb 12, 2020 | Campaign News
Friday is the deadline for candidates to file for local offices on the May 2 general election ballot. HD45: The Austin American-Statesman endorsed Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) and Bud Wymore (R) for their respective party’s nominations. HD47: The Austin...
