Analysis of Key Dallas County House Races

Dallas Co. was the epicenter of Democrats’ 2018 surge. They flipped five House seats, one Senate seat and one congressional seat. They swept every countywide office. Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) doubled up U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, beating him by 33 points....

Landgraf Staying Put and Other News for September 10

SD4: Porter oil and gas project manager Jay Stittleburg established a campaign committee for a potential challenge of Sen. Brandon Creighton (R-Conroe) as a Democrat. Stittleburg ran unsuccessfully for Montgomery County Judge in 2018, losing to then-Rep. Mark Keough...

Candidate and Endorsement News for August 28

SC6 open: Houston attorney and former Court of Appeals Justice Jane Bland (R) updated her campaign committee for the seat being vacated by Justice Jeff Brown (R), who has been confirmed as a federal district judge by the U.S. Senate. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) has...

Election and Candidate News for February 28

HD125 special: Ray Lopez and Fred Rangel appeared at a generally amicable campaign forum hosted by the League of Women Voters. The candidates differed on abortion, background checks for gun sales, the Trump Administration’s policy of separating families at the border...

Revisiting Our Election Predictions

Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...