We’ve Moved and Election News for October 27

Friends and supporters, we have relocated our website to WPEngine. We expect this transition will be seamless and invisible, but we are also aware that some issues may happen during this transition. If you have any issues logging in to our site, or if you didn’t...

Trump Taps Ratcliffe and Other News for July 28

President Trump tweeted that he would nominate U.S. Rep. John Ratcliffe (R-Heath) to become the next Director of National Intelligence following Dan Coats’s August 15 departure. Ratcliffe’s nomination requires U.S. Senate confirmation. Trump would name an acting...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...

Ads, Endorsements and News for October 1

GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a two-minute ad, “Hope: Julie’s Story,” telling the story of a mother whose son was paralyzed in the Sutherland Springs mass shooting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHYD1PCWRHE LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 3

Today we continue our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by looking at the contribution totals of the candidates as of their July semiannual (state) and July quarterly (federal) campaign finance reports. Since 2004, 62 Texas...

Uresti, Villalba Appear to Draw Primary Challengers

Early Voting continues for the November 6 general and constitutional amendment election through November 3. Turnout continues to be very light across most of the state. Through Friday, just over 1% of registered voters had cast ballots in person or by mail in the...

‘Trump Effect’ Limited to Trump in Collin Co.

At least in Collin Co., the so-called “Trump effect” was limited to Trump himself. Democrats gained some ground on Republicans in terms of straight-ticket voters, but full-ballot voters remained friendly to all Republicans not named Trump. All five House districts...

Other Campaign Finance Highlights

We previously covered the 30-day-out reports for most competitive and potentially competitive House races. Since we published it, we became aware of a mistake with HD144. We erroneously used Rep. Gilbert Peña’s (R-Pasadena) July semiannual report in our...