Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 7, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting may begin next week as ordered by Gov. Greg Abbott (R), ruled the Texas Supreme Court, essentially because the legal challenge to that order was filed too late. “Relators could have asserted their challenge at any time in the past ten weeks,” wrote Chief...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Sep 2, 2020 | Campaign News
SD30 special: The National Rifle Assoc. Political Victory Fund endorsed Rep. Drew Springer (R-Muenster). HD65: Rep. Michelle Beckley’s (D-Carrollton) campaign released a new ad, “No Bull,” focusing on the recently canceled contract the state had with a firm to do...
Aug 24, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the November 3 general election begins in seven weeks. SD30 special (Safe Republican): Rep. Drew Springer (R-Muenster) has been endorsed by at least 29 of his Republican colleagues, including Texas Freedom Caucus members Briscoe Cain (R-Deer Park),...
Aug 17, 2020 | Campaign News
HD65 (Lean Democratic): The campaign of Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton) released an internal poll showing the incumbent leading Republican challenger Kronda Thimesch, 52%-38%. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump, 55%-40%, in the...
Aug 2, 2020 | House Race Analyses
Four suburban North Texas districts are at various stages of turning increasingly competitive or outright friendly to Democratic candidates. One flipped in 2018. Two more are poised to flip in 2020, and the fourth may remain just out of reach, even though it, like the...
Jul 19, 2020 | Campaign News
Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. Our complete ratings are located here. Thirteen...
Jul 16, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) reported more cash on hand ($38.2M) than all of the Republican legislative incumbents and candidates on the 2020 general election ballot combined ($32.1M) and all of the Republican congressional incumbents and candidates on the 2020 general...
Jun 21, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the July 14 primary runoff and special elections begins in a week on June 29. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) extended the usual 5-day early voting period to 12 days by executive order last month after postponing the runoff, originally scheduled for May 26, in...
