Oct 6, 2022 | Campaign News
Up to this point, our race ratings have been based on each district’s partisan lean in the last two election cycles while ignoring the candidates seeking those districts. That’s why Rep. Tracy King’s (D-Batesville) district has been consistently rated a Toss Up even...
May 25, 2022 | Election Night Returns
As runoff elections go, it was a pretty good night to be an incumbent, or a former incumbent. Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) and Railroad Comm. Wayne Christian (R) easily turned aside their challengers to secure nominations for a third and second term, respectively. Paxton...
May 22, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Runoff candidates who receive more than $1,890 from a single source on or after May 15 must disclose those contributions in daily pre-election reports (formerly known as telegram reports). These “late train” contributions typically come from a handful of major donors...
May 17, 2022 | Campaign Finance
State candidates facing runoffs were required to file their runoff campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between February 10 and May 14. Most reports were available online today (Tuesday), and...
May 11, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. AG (Lean R): Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 58%-31%, according to a new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC, virtually unchanged from its April poll. LAND open (Likely...
Apr 26, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting continues for the May 7 general, special and constitutional amendment elections. Around 1% of Texas registered voters cast ballots in person or by mail through Monday, the first day of early voting, in the constitutional amendment election. Because there...
Apr 11, 2022 | Campaign News
HD147 special (Safe D): The candidates’ 30-day-out reports campaign finance reports were due Friday in the May 7 special election to fill the unexpired term of former Rep. Garnet Coleman (D-Houston), who resigned. These reports disclose contributions received and...
Mar 28, 2022 | Campaign News
AG (Lean R): Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner endorsed Joe Jaworski (D) in the runoff over Rochelle Garza. HD23 open (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Patrick Gurski (R) in the runoff over Terri Leo-Wilson. HD52 open (Lean R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed...
Mar 22, 2022 | Campaign News
The Texas Supreme Court will hear oral arguments tomorrow (Wednesday) in a case challenging a portion of the Texas House map passed the last special session. In November, the Mexican American Legislative Caucus filed suit contending that the map violated the...
Mar 20, 2022 | By the Numbers
83% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 204 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...
Mar 3, 2022 | Campaign Finance
We have analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in significant primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...
Mar 2, 2022 | Political Climate
Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...