Nov 1, 2018 | Campaign Finance
“Late-train” money is flowing into close Congressional races but largely ignoring state races as the election campaign nears its end. Part of this disparity is due to the dates covered. Congressional candidates began disclosing contributions in “24-hour” reports on...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 19, 2018 | Political Climate
We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...
Oct 10, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Note: This report has been updated since we issued our Breaking News alert. State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become...
Oct 8, 2018 | Campaign News
A new Emerson Coll. “e-poll” finds U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 47%-42%, and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leading former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D), 53%-33%. In August, Emerson Coll. found Cruz leading, 38%-37%, and Abbott...
Sep 27, 2018 | Political Climate
We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...
Sep 10, 2018 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
The general election is eight weeks away, and early voting begins six weeks from today. Traditionally, we have rated contested elections on a 5-star scale, which one star indicating a very low-interest race with no chance of flipping and five stars indicating a...
Jul 24, 2018 | Campaign News
SD19 special: Rep. Roland Gutierrez (D-San Antonio) out-raised former Rep. and U.S. Rep. Pete Gallego (D-Alpine), $88K to $46K, and outspent Gallego, $251K to $97K, during the first 21 days of July. Candidates were required to file their 8-day-out reports yesterday...
Jul 17, 2018 | Campaign Finance
State candidates and officeholders were required to file their July semiannual campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between the last date covered by a report and June 30. The reporting period...
Jun 6, 2018 | Political Climate
Today we begin our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by examining a metric we call “relative performance factors,” which measure the partisan lean of a district relative to the state. Two dozen Texas congressional and...
Mar 4, 2018 | Campaign Finance, Campaign News
Primary Election Day is Tuesday. Polls are open 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time across the state. Counties begin releasing early voting results shortly after polls close. We will have live returns and analysis beginning at 7 p.m. CST at https://txelects.wpengine.com/live....
Mar 1, 2018 | Campaign Finance
SD19: Rep. Roland Gutierrez (D-San Antonio) will hold “an important announcement on his plans for working together with the communities of Senate District 19 on moving forward” on March 10 in San Antonio. Gutierrez is unopposed for re-election to HD119. Earlier this...
