Analysis of Competitive Central Texas House Districts

We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...

Special Election Filing and Candidate News for August 27

HD14: Rep. John Raney (R-Bryan) announced he would seek re-election to a fifth term. HD28 special: Four candidates have filed so far for the November 5 special election to fill the unexpired term of Rep. John Zerwas (R-Richmond), who is resigning effective September...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for October 19

Early Voting begins Monday for the November 6 general election and runs through November 2. GOV: The Corpus Christi Caller-Times endorsed Gov. Greg Abbott (R). LTGOV: The Corpus Christi Caller-Times endorsed Democratic challenger Mike Collier over Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 5

Last week we explored the shift in straight-party voting advantage in Republican-held districts toward the Democrats. Today we explore each party’s roles in those shifts. Between 2012 and 2016, Democrats either cut into the Republican straight-party advantage or...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Big Bets in Key Races Revealed in 8-day-out Reports

After 5 p.m. today, the Texas Ethics Commission posted totals for the 8-day-out reports candidates filed on Monday. The actual reports are generally not yet available, but we were able to determine many candidates’ largest donors between January 26 and February 24. We...

Endorsement and Campaign News for February 20

AGRIC: Comm. Sid Miller’s (R) campaign released a new video on illegal immigration and sanctuary cities featuring an endorsement by Maria Espinoza of the Remembrance Project. SD8 open: An internal poll conducted for the Angela Paxton campaign shows her with a 47%-32%...

Endorsement and Campaign News for February 15

Filing deadline: Candidates for offices on the May 5 uniform election ballot must file by tomorrow, or by Tuesday if they wish to be write-in candidates. Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins Tuesday. COMP: The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Joi...

New Ads from White, Miller and Other News for February 11

GOV: The Andrew White campaign released a new ad focused on his personal efforts to help Houston-area victims of Hurricane Harvey. Meanwhile, Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins endorsed former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez. AGRIC: The campaign of Comm. Sid Miller (R)...