Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 5

Last week we explored the shift in straight-party voting advantage in Republican-held districts toward the Democrats. Today we explore each party’s roles in those shifts. Between 2012 and 2016, Democrats either cut into the Republican straight-party advantage or...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Big Bets in Key Races Revealed in 8-day-out Reports

After 5 p.m. today, the Texas Ethics Commission posted totals for the 8-day-out reports candidates filed on Monday. The actual reports are generally not yet available, but we were able to determine many candidates’ largest donors between January 26 and February 24. We...

Endorsement and Campaign News for February 20

AGRIC: Comm. Sid Miller’s (R) campaign released a new video on illegal immigration and sanctuary cities featuring an endorsement by Maria Espinoza of the Remembrance Project. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_Dd-puNOLE SD8 open: An internal poll conducted for the...

Endorsement and Campaign News for February 15

Filing deadline: Candidates for offices on the May 5 uniform election ballot must file by tomorrow, or by Tuesday if they wish to be write-in candidates. Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins Tuesday. COMP: The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Joi...

New Ads from White, Miller and Other News for February 11

GOV: The Andrew White campaign released a new ad focused on his personal efforts to help Houston-area victims of Hurricane Harvey. Meanwhile, Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins endorsed former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez. AGRIC: The campaign of Comm. Sid Miller (R)...

Incumbents Generally Ahead in 30-day-out Reports

State candidates with primary opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports on Monday. These are normally accessible online early the next morning, but today they were not available until late afternoon. We are in the process of going through the...

Abbott Raises $1.1M and Other Campaign News for February 5

State candidates with primary opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports today. These reports cover contributions received and expenditures made during the first 25 days of 2018. Most of these reports will not be available until tomorrow, but...

Election and Endorsement News for February 1

LTGOV: The Houston Chronicle’s Andrea Zelinski reported that Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick’s (R) campaign has purchased more than $1M in air time for advertising in the Houston TV market and $840K in the Dallas/Fort Worth market. Ads are scheduled to run during the Olympics,...

Endorsement and Campaign News for January 24

LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) released its first television ad, which focuses on boarder security and sanctuary cities. “Big city liberals want open borders,” Patrick said in the ad, “But I won’t back down.”...

At Least 8 House Incumbents Trail Primary Challengers

January semiannual reports were due for state officeholders and candidates on Tuesday. They cover contributions received and expenditures made during the second half of 2017. For most primary challengers and open-seat candidates, they are the first window into their...