Revisiting Our Election Predictions

Now that most of the dust has settled, we take a look back at our predictions about the overall state climate and specific legislative and congressional races. We’ll take each of our five predictions in order. 1. Republicans sweep statewide races, including the...

‘Late-train’ Money Favors Federal Races

“Late-train” money is flowing into close Congressional races but largely ignoring state races as the election campaign nears its end. Part of this disparity is due to the dates covered. Congressional candidates began disclosing contributions in “24-hour” reports on...

Key Statewide and Senate Race Campaign Finance Results

Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...

Campaign Finance Reports Due and Other News for October 9

Campaign Finance: State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents are required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports today (Tuesday). These reports are expected to be available online sometime tomorrow (Wednesday), at...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Ads, Endorsements, Polls and News for September 24

Tuesday is National Voter Registration Day. October 9 is the deadline for Texans to register to vote to participate in November 6 general election. GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a new ad, “Keeping Texans Safe,” focused on border security and...