Poll: Republicans Lead Statewide Races by 5-8 Points

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 51%-44%, among likely voters, according to a new Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll. His lead increases to 53%-43% among “almost certain voters,” continuing a trend observed in recent polls. More than...

Runoff Candidates Raise More Than $17M for Final Push

State candidates facing runoffs were required to file their runoff campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between February 10 and May 14. Most reports were available online today (Tuesday), and...

Poll, Endorsement and Judicial News for May 11

Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. AG (Lean R): Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 58%-31%, according to a new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC, virtually unchanged from its April poll. LAND open (Likely...

Poll and Endorsement News for April 4

A new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC shows its endorsed candidates easily winning, or at least leading, their respective runoff opponents, by at least 24 percentage points. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 50%-39%, with undecided...

By the Numbers: Incumbents Facing Runoffs

30% Winning percentage of incumbent statewide officials, legislators and members of Congress in primary runoffs since 1996. Last week, we explored the historical success rates of first-place candidates entering primary runoffs for “open” seats, meaning no incumbent in...

Revisiting Our Mostly Prescient Primary Storylines

Now that the dust has (almost) settled from the March 1 primary election, we like to go back and look at the storylines we were watching heading into Election Day. Statewides in Runoff or Runoffs? Turns out, it was runoffs. For the first time since 2002, more than one...

Primary Night Delivers Some Drama, Lots of Runoffs

Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...