Poll and Endorsement News for April 4

A new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC shows its endorsed candidates easily winning, or at least leading, their respective runoff opponents, by at least 24 percentage points. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 50%-39%, with undecided...

By the Numbers: Incumbents Facing Runoffs

30% Winning percentage of incumbent statewide officials, legislators and members of Congress in primary runoffs since 1996. Last week, we explored the historical success rates of first-place candidates entering primary runoffs for “open” seats, meaning no incumbent in...

Revisiting Our Mostly Prescient Primary Storylines

Now that the dust has (almost) settled from the March 1 primary election, we like to go back and look at the storylines we were watching heading into Election Day. Statewides in Runoff or Runoffs? Turns out, it was runoffs. For the first time since 2002, more than one...

Primary Night Delivers Some Drama, Lots of Runoffs

Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...

New Ads and Endorsement News for February 9

Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. AG (Lean R): The National Rifle Assoc. endorsed Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R), who received an A+ grade from the group. The group rated his primary challengers Land Comm. George P. Bush (R) as A, U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert...

Ad and Endorsement News for February 7

Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. RRC (Likely R): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Dawayne Tipton (R) over Comm. Wayne Christian (R). SD11 open (Likely R): The Mayes Middleton (R) campaign released a new ad leading with former President Trump’s...

Polls: Abbott, O’Rourke Cruising to General Election

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Beto O’Rourke (D) comfortably leads their primary challengers and appears poised to win their respective nominations outright, according to the a pair of polls released this weekend. Abbott has the support of 58% of “all primary voters” and...