Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins tomorrow (Monday) and runs through Friday.

State candidates’ runoff campaign finance reports are due tomorrow and likely will become available online Tuesday. These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between February 10 and May 14.

New Poll: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke (D), 46%-39%, according to a new Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler poll.

Abbott leads among White voters, 58%-30%, and among men, 52%-34% (not printed but calculated from other population results). O’Rourke leads among Black voters, 59%-16%; Hispanic/Latino voters, 46%-36%; and women, 44%-40%. Abbott leads O’Rourke among independents, 38%-31% (calculated from other population results, although the crosstabs indicate his lead among independents is 16%-6%, almost certainly a misprint).

Turning to the May 24 runoffs, Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 41%-35%, with a quarter of primary voters undecided. Paxton’s lead is larger among “certain” voters, 46%-31%.

“Not sure” continues to lead the Democratic races for LTGOV and AG. Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton) leads Mike Collier, 31%-19%, and Rochelle Garza leads Joe Jaworski, 35%-20%, in those respective races. “Not sure” scored 44% and 40%, respectively.


LTGOV (Lean R): The Houston Chronicle endorsed Mike Collier (D) in the runoff over Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton).

AG (Lean R): The Austin American-Statesman, Dallas Morning News, Fort Worth Star-Telegram and Houston Chronicle endorsed Land Comm. George P. Bush (R) in the runoff over incumbent Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R). The Star-Telegram endorsed Rochelle Garza in the Democratic runoff over Joe Jaworski. The Chronicleendorsed Jaworski.

LAND open (Likely R): The Houston Chronicle and San Antonio Express-News endorsed Sen. Dawn Buckingham (R-Lakeway) in the Republican runoff over Tim Westley (R) and Jay Kleberg in the Democratic runoff over Sandragrace Martinez.

RRC (Likely R): The Austin American-Statesman and Dallas Morning News endorsed challenger Sarah Stogner (R) in the runoff over Comm. Wayne Christian (R).

HD84 open (Likely R): Rep. John Frullo (R-Lubbock) endorsed Carl Tepper (R) in the runoff over David Glasheen.

HD133 open (Likely R): Texas Right to Life PAC endorsed Shelley Barineau (R) in the runoff over Mano DeAyala. The group previously endorsed Greg Travis in the primary.

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