Poll Gives Hope to Democrats, But …

A new poll from the Texas Lyceum shows a statistical dead heat in the U.S. Senate race, except that “haven’t thought enough about it” is the response of a plurality of registered voters. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) are tied, 30-30,...

By the Numbers: 2016 General Election

A few notes on Tuesday’s presidential election results: A record 8.93M Texans cast votes in this general election, and 6.17M registered voters didn’t. The number of votes cast is 10.5% more than the previous record set in 2008 and 11.7% more than in 2012. Just over...

Trump by 9 in Marist Poll

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll of Texas voters shows Donald Trump with a 9-point lead over Hillary Clinton. It is the third poll conducted after the FBI director’s letter to Congress regarding Clinton’s emails. All three polls have shown a widening race...

Questionable Emerson Poll Has Trump Up 14

A questionable new poll from Emerson College (pdf) gives Donald Trump a 14-point lead over Hillary Clinton in Texas, which is just about the same margin as Mitt Romney’s over President Obama in 2012. It is the second poll this week to show a double-digit spread....

New Poll First to Show Trump Over 50

The latest KTVT/Dixie Strategies poll shows a double-digit lead for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton for the first time since the August KTVT/DS poll, and it shows Trump over 50% for the first time in any Texas poll. Trump leads Clinton, 52%-39%, with Libertarian...

Campaign News for October 27

PRES: We have a little more detail on the UT/Texas Tribune poll released at midnight on Thursday. The poll shows “likey voters” give Donald Trump a 3-point lead over Hillary Clinton, 45%-42%, with minor party candidates and “someone else” collectively polling at 14%....

UT/TT Poll: Trump 45, Clinton 42

A new UT/Texas Tribune poll shows (pdf) Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton, 45%-42%, among likely voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson polled at 7%, which is far above the historical average for a Libertarian candidate in Texas, and Green Jill Stein polled at 2%....

Crosswind: Trump by 7

A new Crosswind/Austin American-Statesman poll shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton, 45%-38%, in Texas. Libertarian Gary Johnson received the support of 7% of respondents. Another 10% were undecided. The poll’s results were consistent with others showing Clinton...

Campaign News for October 25

PRES: The Dallas Morning News’s Jamie Lonegrove tweeted total campaign contributions to presidential nominees from Texas in the last three election cycles. He determined that Hillary Clinton’s $18.3M is almost equal to Barack Obama’s 2012 efforts ($18.6M) and ahead of...

Trump’s Lead Within Margin of Error in YouGov Poll

A CBS News/YouGov 2016 Battleground Tracker poll shows Donald Trump narrowly leading Hillary Clinton, 46%-43%, which is within the margin of error. The minor party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein polled at 5% and 1%. respectively. Just 3% of respondents were...

Endorsement News for October 23

PRES: Calling her the “least objectionable choice,” the Beaumont Enterprise endorsed Hillary Clinton. The Bryan-College Station Eagle “reluctantly” endorsed Clinton. The Galveston Daily News endosed Clinton, “which is the newspaper’s first endorsement of a Democratic...