Sep 13, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We conclude our analysis of potentially competitive Texas House districts with a discussion of South and West Texas. To skip to the punchline, we do not expect any of the seats discussed here to flip. What’s more interesting here is the potential long-term shifts in...
Apr 20, 2017 | Campaign News
Redistricting: The maps drawn in 2011 for the Texas state house districts violate the U.S. Constitution and the federal Voting Rights Act, the three-judge panel presiding over the redistricting lawsuits ruled. Intentional vote dilution, racial gerrymandering and...
Dec 15, 2016 | Straight-ticket Voting
We have explored the shifts in straight-ticket voting in several of the state’s largest counties and found significant Democratic gains, particularly in Republican-held state House seats, with some exceptions, notably in districts held by African-American Democrats....
Nov 1, 2016 | Campaign Finance
Eight-day-out campaign finance reports were due yesterday for state and legislative candidates (and some local candidates) with general election opponents. The reports cover contributions received and expenditures made between September 29 and October 29. From this...
Jul 17, 2016 | Campaign Finance
Semiannual campaign finance reports were due Friday, covering either (1) the first six months of the year for candidates who had no primary opponent or (2) the period since the end of the 8-day-out reporting period of either the primary or primary runoff election (or...
Jun 30, 2016 | House Race Analyses, Straight-ticket Voting
We continue our look into straight-ticket voting trends in today’s competitive or potentially competitive districts by looking at HD40 in Hidalgo Co. After examining the straight-ticket voting data going back to 2004, we conclude that neither label can be applied to...
Nov 16, 2015 | Archived Updates
Dear Subscriber, A few things we wanted to share with you today: CD8: Former Rep. Steve Toth (R-The Woodlands) announced he was running in the Republican primary against U.S. Rep. Kevin Brady (R-The Woodlands). Two other Republicans are already in the race. CD15: Two...