Feb 7, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. RRC (Likely R): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Dawayne Tipton (R) over Comm. Wayne Christian (R). SD11 open (Likely R): The Mayes Middleton (R) campaign released a new ad leading with former President Trump’s...
Jul 16, 2021 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative elected officials and candidates on the ballot in 2022 raised $42.9M, almost all of which was raised in the last 10 days of June. Collectively, they reported having more than $175M on hand. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R)...
Nov 8, 2020 | General Elections, House Race Analyses
This is the first in a series of periodic analyses of the 2020 general election. The signs pointed to further Democratic gains in the Texas House of Representatives. Entering Election Day, there were 83 Republican-held seats and 67 Democrat-held seats. Two years...
Nov 4, 2020 | General Elections
Democrats have long maintained that higher turnout is the key to turning the state blue. It didn’t happen. The blue wave of 2018 crashed against the red seawall of rural and exurban Texas, and Republicans held their ground in the suburbs against spirited and...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 28, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Yesterday’s report about campaign finance results for key House races was missing details about a number of Democratic candidates’ 8-day-out reports. To be clear, they filed their reports on time, but the contribution and expenditure details were not yet available...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 12, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the November 3 general election begins tomorrow (Tuesday) and runs through October 30. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) extended the normally two-week early voting period to three weeks in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Harris Co. reported it has mailed...
Oct 11, 2020 | Political Climate
With three weeks to go before the general election, the state of play up and down the ballot remains remarkably stable across Texas. However, as races remain close, that stability could mask a lot of volatility within polls’ margins of errors and assumptions about who...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
