Analysis of Competitive Central Texas House Districts

We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...

Filing and Turnout News for Deadline Eve

Tomorrow (Monday) is the deadline for candidates to file for a spot on the March 3 primary ballot as a Democrat or Republican, or to be eligible to receive the nomination of the Green or Libertarian Parties at their conventions. It is also the deadline for candidates...

Filing and Endorsement News as Turkey Day Approaches

Filing for the 2020 primary elections and nominating conventions continues through December 9. We expect this holiday week to be a fairly quiet one, and many party offices will be closed beginning Wednesday. Our Crib Sheets have the latest information of who has...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Endorsement News for October 11

GOV: Humorist Kinky Friedman, himself a former independent candidate for the state’s highest office, endorsed Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts. “They still try to screw the Libertarians and independents,” Friedman said in a statement. “Ironically, most Texans are...

Identifying Districts in Play This November, Part 1

Today we begin our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by examining a metric we call “relative performance factors,” which measure the partisan lean of a district relative to the state. Two dozen Texas congressional and...

Redistricting Update and Other Election News for January 9

Redistricting: The U.S. Supreme Court will once again consider the state’s redistricting case at its conference on Friday. Meanwhile, a three-judge federal panel ruled that Tennessee’s congressional map is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander and ordered new maps...

Candidate Filing and Endorsement News for November 17

Filing for a place on the 2018 continues until 6 p.m. local time on December 11. Please see our Crib Sheets for candidates’ filing status. SD8 open: Texas Values Action endorsed Angela Paxton. SD25: Dripping Springs attorney and five-time gubernatorial appointee...