Early Voting Ends on Positive Note

Early voting has ended for Tuesday’s general election. Turnout continues to be below 2018 levels overall, but it showed signs of gaining ground over the past couple of days. For the first time this year, the number of early voters exceeded the same day in 2018 in the...

30 Races Shift Toward Republicans in Our Final Ratings

Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...

South Texas Races Draw Most Congressional Campaign Cash

Congressional candidates on the general election ballot raised $19M and spent nearly $16M during the third quarter, according to October quarterly reports that were due today (Sat.). The total represents a more than $24M drop from the same period in 2020, even after...

White Resigns, Abbott Releases 1st General Election Ad

Rep. James White (R-Hillister) has resigned to become executive director of the Texas Funeral Services Comm. Redistricting shifted the district west of Austin, and White, who was paired with Rep. Trent Ashby (R-Lufkin), did not seek re-election. If Gov. Greg Abbott...

Abbott by 7 in New DMN/UTT Poll

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) maintains his single-digit – but outside the margin of error – lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke (D), according to a new Dallas Morning News/Univ. of Tyler poll. Abbott leads O’Rourke, 46%-39%, with 13% of respondents split among...

Abbott Lays Down $20M in Ad Reservations

GOV (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott’s (R) campaign has reserved nearly $20M in television, digital and Hispanic-media advertising. The buy, dubbed the first phase of reservations, includes nearly $9M in broadcast, cable, connected TV and radio advertising slots; $8M in...

Non-primary Voters Heavily Backed Flores Over Sanchez

U.S. Rep.-elect Mayra Flores (R-Los Indios) received more than 70% of the vote from non-primary voters, while Democrat Dan Sanchez received less than 25%, according to our analysis of CD34 special election voting rosters. We estimate Flores’s margin among non-primary...