Nov 9, 2022 | General Elections
It could’ve been worse. Or better, depending on one’s perspective. Republicans swept statewide offices for the 13th consecutive election cycle, and they already had built-in majorities in both legislative chambers. But it wasn’t a red wave as much as it was a...
Nov 7, 2022 | General Elections, Political Climate
Ordinarily, we preview an election with some analyses – hopefully insightful ones – around the storylines we’re following. This time, the storyline seems quite simple: It’s a bad year for Texas Democrats. They’ve been fighting gravity this entire cycle. The only...
Nov 4, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting has ended for Tuesday’s general election. Turnout continues to be below 2018 levels overall, but it showed signs of gaining ground over the past couple of days. For the first time this year, the number of early voters exceeded the same day in 2018 in the...
Nov 1, 2022 | Race Ratings
Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...
Oct 27, 2022 | Campaign Finance, Campaign News
Early voting continues for the November 8 general election. Just over 1.6M Texans have voted early in person (1.4M) or by mail (200K) through yesterday (Wed.), the third day of the early voting period, according to preliminary numbers reported by counties to the...
Oct 15, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Congressional candidates on the general election ballot raised $19M and spent nearly $16M during the third quarter, according to October quarterly reports that were due today (Sat.). The total represents a more than $24M drop from the same period in 2020, even after...
Sep 5, 2022 | Campaign News
Candidates running for more than one-third of Texas legislative seats have been declared elected by the Secretary of State because they are officially unopposed in the general election. Nearly all of the unopposed candidates are incumbents, but five members-elect have...
Aug 21, 2022 | Campaign News
Rep. James White (R-Hillister) has resigned to become executive director of the Texas Funeral Services Comm. Redistricting shifted the district west of Austin, and White, who was paired with Rep. Trent Ashby (R-Lufkin), did not seek re-election. If Gov. Greg Abbott...
Aug 14, 2022 | Campaign News
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) maintains his single-digit – but outside the margin of error – lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke (D), according to a new Dallas Morning News/Univ. of Tyler poll. Abbott leads O’Rourke, 46%-39%, with 13% of respondents split among...
Jul 17, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Note: This report has been updated to reflect significant changes to originally reported figures by Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton’s campaign. The governor’s race (Likely R) is taking the oxygen out of the room, accounting for 65 cents out of every dollar contributed to...
Jun 29, 2022 | Campaign News
GOV (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott’s (R) campaign has reserved nearly $20M in television, digital and Hispanic-media advertising. The buy, dubbed the first phase of reservations, includes nearly $9M in broadcast, cable, connected TV and radio advertising slots; $8M in...
Jun 21, 2022 | Campaign News
U.S. Rep.-elect Mayra Flores (R-Los Indios) received more than 70% of the vote from non-primary voters, while Democrat Dan Sanchez received less than 25%, according to our analysis of CD34 special election voting rosters. We estimate Flores’s margin among non-primary...